Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Demopolis from 22.03.2023

Polling data

FdI
30.0
+1.0
PD
20.2
+5.2
M5S
15.0
-2.8
Lega
8.5
+0.2
A/IV
7.3
-0.2
FI
6.6
±0.0
AVS
3.0
-0.2
Sonst.
9.4
-3.2
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+4.0
PD
+1.1
M5S
-0.4
Lega
-0.3
A/IV
-0.5
FI
-1.5
AVS
-0.6
Demopolis – 2000 respondents – 21.03.2023-22.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Demopolis shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 30%, Partito Democratico 20.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15%, Lega 8.5%, A/IV 7.3%, Forza Italia 6.6% and AVS 3%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 49.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Demopolis. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (21.03.2023 - 22.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
66
AVS
13
PD
90
A/IV
32
FI
29
FdI
133
Lega
37
Majority requires 201 seats
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
236
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
228
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
222
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
217
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
212
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
201
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
199
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
199

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Demopolis. The survey took place between 21.03.2023 and 22.03.2023 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 30%, Partito Democratico 20.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15%, Lega 8.5%, A/IV 7.3%, Forza Italia 6.6% and AVS 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.