Italy
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Austria
Vorarlberg
Lithuania
Georgia
United States

Italy: Poll by Noto from 13.06.2023

Polling data

FdI
28.0
-1.0
PD
20.0
-1.0
M5S
15.0
+0.5
FI
10.0
+2.5
Lega
9.0
+0.5
A/IV
6.5
-1.5
AVS
3.5
+0.5
+E
2.5
+1.0
NM
1.5
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
-1.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+2.0
PD
+0.9
M5S
-0.4
FI
+1.9
Lega
+0.2
A/IV
-1.3
AVS
-0.1
+E
-0.3
NM
+0.6
Noto – 1000 respondents – 13.06.2023-13.06.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates A/IV higher

In 30% of election polls, Noto rates A/IV higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partito Democratico lower

In 33% of election polls Noto rates Partito Democratico lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Noto shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28%, Partito Democratico 20%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15%, Forza Italia 10%, Lega 9%, A/IV 6.5%, AVS 3.5%, Più Europa 2.5% and NM 1.5%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. A/IV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Noto. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (13.06.2023 - 13.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
65
AVS
15
PD
87
A/IV
28
FI
44
FdI
122
Lega
39
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
235
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
231
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
226
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
224
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
205
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
202
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
196

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Noto. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 13.06.2023 1000. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28%, Partito Democratico 20%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15%, Forza Italia 10%, Lega 9%, A/IV 6.5%, AVS 3.5%, Più Europa 2.5% and NM 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!