Italy: Poll by Demos & Pi from 28.04.2023

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
29.0
-0.3
PD
20.6
+0.5
M5S
15.2
-0.4
Lega
8.0
-0.2
FI
7.8
+0.2
A
3.7
-0.5
AVS
3.3
+0.1
IV
2.6
+0.2
+E
2.5
-0.2
Others
7.3
+0.6
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.0
PD
+1.5
M5S
-0.2
Lega
-0.8
FI
-0.3
A
New
AVS
-0.3
IV
New
+E
-0.3
Demos & Pi – 1005 respondents – 26.04.2023-28.04.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Demos & Pi shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 20.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.2%, Lega 8%, Forza Italia 7.8%, Azione 3.7%, AVS 3.3%, Italia Viva 2.6% and Più Europa 2.5%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. Lega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Demos & Pi. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (26.04.2023 - 28.04.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
70
17.5%
AVS
15
3.8%
PD
95
23.8%
A
16
4%
FI
35
8.8%
FdI
133
33.3%
Lega
36
9%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
59.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
54.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
51.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
50.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + AVS
49.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Demos & Pi. The survey took place between 26.04.2023 and 28.04.2023 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 20.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.2%, Lega 8%, Forza Italia 7.8%, Azione 3.7%, AVS 3.3%, Italia Viva 2.6% and Più Europa 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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