Italy: Poll by Demos & Pi from 20.09.2023

Polling data

FdI
28.6
-0.4
PD
20.4
-0.2
M5S
17.2
+2.0
Lega
7.8
-0.2
FI
6.6
-1.2
A
4.0
+0.3
AVS
3.6
+0.3
+E
2.6
+0.1
IV
2.4
-0.2
Others
6.8
-0.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+2.6
PD
+1.3
M5S
+1.8
Lega
-1.0
FI
-1.5
A
New
AVS
±0.0
+E
-0.2
IV
New
Demos & Pi – 1010 respondents – 18.09.2023-20.09.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Demos & Pi shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28.6%, Partito Democratico 20.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.2%, Lega 7.8%, Forza Italia 6.6%, Azione 4%, AVS 3.6%, Più Europa 2.6% and Italia Viva 2.4%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 48.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Demos & Pi. For this purpose, 1010 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (18.09.2023 - 20.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
78
19.5%
AVS
16
4%
PD
93
23.3%
A
18
4.5%
FI
30
7.5%
FdI
130
32.5%
Lega
35
8.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
59.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
52.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + AVS
51.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
46.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Demos & Pi. The survey took place between 18.09.2023 and 20.09.2023 among 1010 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28.6%, Partito Democratico 20.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.2%, Lega 7.8%, Forza Italia 6.6%, Azione 4%, AVS 3.6%, Più Europa 2.6% and Italia Viva 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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