Upcoming elections:

Italy: Poll by Tecnè from 29.03.2024

Polling data

FdI
27.5
+0.1
PD
20.5
±0.0
M5S
15.6
±0.0
FI
9.4
±0.0
Lega
7.8
±0.0
AVS
4.0
-0.2
A
3.6
-0.2
IV
3.2
-0.1
+E
3.0
+0.2
Sonst.
5.4
+0.2
Tecnè – 803 respondents – 28.03.2024-29.03.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 803 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Forza Italia higher

In 74% of election polls, Tecnè rates Forza Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Tecnè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.5%, Partito Democratico 20.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.6%, Forza Italia 9.4%, Lega 7.8%, AVS 4%, Azione 3.6%, Italia Viva 3.2% and Più Europa 3%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. Lega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 47.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Tecnè. For this purpose, 803 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.03.2024 - 29.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
66
AVS
17
PD
87
A
15
IV
13
+E
12
FI
40
FdI
117
Lega
33
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
223
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
216
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italia Viva
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Italia Viva + Più Europa
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italia Viva
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega + Italia Viva
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
200
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Azione + Italia Viva
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Azione + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Italia Viva
196
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
190
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Più Europa

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Tecnè. The survey took place between 28.03.2024 and 29.03.2024 among 803 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 27.5%, Partito Democratico 20.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.6%, Forza Italia 9.4%, Lega 7.8%, AVS 4%, Azione 3.6%, Italia Viva 3.2% and Più Europa 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.