Italy
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Italy: Poll by Tecnè from 12.07.2024

Polling data

FdI
28.7
±0.0
PD
24.5
-0.1
FI
10.0
±0.0
M5S
9.7
+0.1
Lega
8.5
-0.2
AVS
6.8
+0.1
A
3.1
-0.1
+E
2.2
+0.2
IV
1.9
±0.0
Sonst.
4.6
0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+2.7
PD
+5.4
FI
+1.9
M5S
-5.7
Lega
-0.3
AVS
+3.2
A
New
+E
-0.6
IV
New
Tecnè – 1000 respondents – 11.07.2024-12.07.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Forza Italia higher

In 74% of election polls, Tecnè rates Forza Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Tecnè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28.7%, Partito Democratico 24.5%, Forza Italia 10%, Movimento 5 Stelle 9.7%, Lega 8.5%, AVS 6.8%, Azione 3.1%, Più Europa 2.2% and Italia Viva 1.9%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Partito Democratico might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Tecnè. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.07.2024 - 12.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
42
AVS
29
PD
108
A
13
FI
44
FdI
127
Lega
37
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Forza Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
231
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
213
Partito Democratico + Forza Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione
207
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
208
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
206
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
198

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Tecnè. The survey took place between 11.07.2024 and 12.07.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28.7%, Partito Democratico 24.5%, Forza Italia 10%, Movimento 5 Stelle 9.7%, Lega 8.5%, AVS 6.8%, Azione 3.1%, Più Europa 2.2% and Italia Viva 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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