Japan: Poll by Nikkei from 31.07.2022

Japan: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
LDP
43.0
-8.0
Ishin
10.0
+4.0
CDP
7.0
±0.0
Komei
5.0
+2.0
JCP
3.0
+1.0
DPP
2.0
±0.0
SDP
1.0
+1.0
N-Koku
1.0
+1.0
Reiwa
1.0
+1.0
Sans.
1.0
+1.0
Others
26.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
+9.7
Ishin
+3.9
CDP
-12.9
Komei
-7.5
JCP
-4.9
DPP
New
SDP
-0.7
N-Koku
New
Reiwa
New
Sans.
New
Nikkei – 985 respondents – 29.07.2022-31.07.2022

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Japan is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates CDP higher

In 33% of election polls, Nikkei rates CDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Ishin higher

In 44% of election polls, Nikkei rates Ishin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LDP higher

In 100% of election polls, Nikkei rates LDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Japan - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Japan from Nikkei shows the following results: LDP 43%, Ishin 10%, CDP 7%, Kōmeitō 5%, JCP 3%, DPP 2%, SDP 1%, N-Koku 1%, Reiwa 1% and Sansei 1%. If an election were held in Japan this Sunday, LDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.7 growth since the last election. CDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Fumio Kishida is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Nikkei. For this purpose, 985 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (29.07.2022 - 31.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Japan was conducted by Nikkei. The survey took place between 29.07.2022 and 31.07.2022 among 985 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LDP 43%, Ishin 10%, CDP 7%, Kōmeitō 5%, JCP 3%, DPP 2%, SDP 1%, N-Koku 1%, Reiwa 1% and Sansei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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