Japan
Election trend
Parties

Japan: Poll by SSRC from 23.10.2022

Polling data

LDP
23.0
±0.0
Ishin
8.0
-5.0
CDP
7.0
-3.0
Komei
3.0
-1.0
JCP
3.0
-2.0
Reiwa
3.0
-2.0
DPP
2.0
-2.0
SDP
1.0
±0.0
N-Koku
1.0
±0.0
Sans.
1.0
-1.0
Sonst.
48.0
+16.0
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
-10.3
Ishin
+1.9
CDP
-12.9
Komei
-9.5
JCP
-4.9
Reiwa
DPP
SDP
-0.7
N-Koku
Sans.
SSRC – 3072 respondents – 22.10.2022-23.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Japan is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDP higher
In 38% of election polls, SSRC rates CDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DPP higher
In 62% of election polls, SSRC rates DPP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ishin higher
In 100% of election polls, SSRC rates Ishin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates JCP higher
In 38% of election polls, SSRC rates JCP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LDP lower
In 77% of election polls SSRC rates LDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reiwa higher
In 50% of election polls, SSRC rates Reiwa higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Japan - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Japan from SSRC shows the following results: LDP 23%, Ishin 8%, CDP 7%, Kōmeitō 3%, JCP 3%, Reiwa 3%, DPP 2%, SDP 1%, N-Koku 1% and Sansei 1%. If an election were held in Japan this Sunday, Ishin might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.9 growth since the last election. CDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Fumio Kishida is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SSRC. For this purpose, 3072 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (22.10.2022 - 23.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
LDP + Ishin
0
LDP + Kōmeitō
0
LDP + Reiwa
0
LDP
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Japan was conducted by SSRC. The survey took place between 22.10.2022 and 23.10.2022 among 3072 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LDP 23%, Ishin 8%, CDP 7%, Kōmeitō 3%, JCP 3%, Reiwa 3%, DPP 2%, SDP 1%, N-Koku 1% and Sansei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.