Japan
Election trend
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Elections

Japan: Poll by NHK from 09.01.2023

Polling data

LDP
38.9
+3.4
CDP
5.7
-1.6
Ishin
3.4
-0.7
Komei
3.0
-0.1
JCP
2.5
-0.3
DPP
1.0
-0.5
Reiwa
0.8
-0.3
Sans.
0.7
+0.3
SDP
0.6
+0.3
N-Koku
0.2
-0.1
Others
43.2
+0.0
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
+5.6
CDP
-14.2
Ishin
-2.7
Komei
-9.5
JCP
-5.4
DPP
Reiwa
Sans.
SDP
-1.1
N-Koku
NHK – 1250 respondents – 07.01.2023-09.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Japan is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDP lower
In 44% of election polls NHK rates CDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ishin lower
In 88% of election polls NHK rates Ishin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LDP higher
In 69% of election polls, NHK rates LDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reiwa lower
In 43% of election polls NHK rates Reiwa lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Japan - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Japan from NHK shows the following results: LDP 38.9%, CDP 5.7%, Ishin 3.4%, Kōmeitō 3%, JCP 2.5%, DPP 1%, Reiwa 0.8%, Sansei 0.7%, SDP 0.6% and N-Koku 0.2%. If an election were held in Japan this Sunday, LDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. CDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Fumio Kishida is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NHK. For this purpose, 1250 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.01.2023 - 09.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

LDP
76.3

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Japan was conducted by NHK. The survey took place between 07.01.2023 and 09.01.2023 among 1250 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LDP 38.9%, CDP 5.7%, Ishin 3.4%, Kōmeitō 3%, JCP 2.5%, DPP 1%, Reiwa 0.8%, Sansei 0.7%, SDP 0.6% and N-Koku 0.2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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