Japan: Poll by Nikkei from 29.01.2023

Polling data

LDP
42.0
+2.0
CDP
8.0
+1.0
Ishin
6.0
-3.0
Komei
4.0
+2.0
DPP
3.0
+1.0
JCP
2.0
-2.0
Reiwa
2.0
±0.0
N-Koku
1.0
±0.0
Sans.
1.0
±0.0
Others
31.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
+8.7
CDP
-11.9
Ishin
-0.1
Komei
-8.5
DPP
New
JCP
-5.9
Reiwa
New
N-Koku
New
Sans.
New
Nikkei – 940 respondents – 27.01.2023-29.01.2023

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Japan is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Japan - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Japan from Nikkei shows the following results: LDP 42%, CDP 8%, Ishin 6%, Kōmeitō 4%, DPP 3%, JCP 2%, Reiwa 2%, N-Koku 1% and Sansei 1%. If an election were held in Japan this Sunday, LDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. CDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Fumio Kishida is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Nikkei. For this purpose, 940 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.01.2023 - 29.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
LDP
66.7%
CDP + Kōmeitō + DPP
23.8%
Ishin + Kōmeitō + DPP
20.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Japan was conducted by Nikkei. The survey took place between 27.01.2023 and 29.01.2023 among 940 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LDP 42%, CDP 8%, Ishin 6%, Kōmeitō 4%, DPP 3%, JCP 2%, Reiwa 2%, N-Koku 1% and Sansei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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