Japan: Poll by NHK from 12.02.2023

Polling data

LDP
38.0
-0.9
CDP
5.4
-0.3
Ishin
4.1
+0.7
Komei
3.3
+0.3
JCP
2.7
+0.2
DPP
1.3
+0.3
Reiwa
0.9
+0.1
Sans.
0.6
-0.1
SDP
0.4
-0.2
N-Koku
0.1
-0.1
Others
43.2
+0.0
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
+4.7
CDP
-14.5
Ishin
-2.0
Komei
-9.2
JCP
-5.2
DPP
New
Reiwa
New
Sans.
New
SDP
-1.3
N-Koku
New
NHK – 1229 respondents – 10.02.2023-12.02.2023

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Japan is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates CDP lower

In 44% of election polls NHK rates CDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Ishin lower

In 88% of election polls NHK rates Ishin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LDP higher

In 69% of election polls, NHK rates LDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reiwa lower

In 43% of election polls NHK rates Reiwa lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Japan - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Japan from NHK shows the following results: LDP 38%, CDP 5.4%, Ishin 4.1%, Kōmeitō 3.3%, JCP 2.7%, DPP 1.3%, Reiwa 0.9%, Sansei 0.6%, SDP 0.4% and N-Koku 0.1%. If an election were held in Japan this Sunday, LDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. CDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Fumio Kishida is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NHK. For this purpose, 1229 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.02.2023 - 12.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
LDP
74.8%
CDP + Kōmeitō
17.1%
Ishin + Kōmeitō
14.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Japan was conducted by NHK. The survey took place between 10.02.2023 and 12.02.2023 among 1229 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LDP 38%, CDP 5.4%, Ishin 4.1%, Kōmeitō 3.3%, JCP 2.7%, DPP 1.3%, Reiwa 0.9%, Sansei 0.6%, SDP 0.4% and N-Koku 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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