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Kosovo General Election: Current Exit Poll Projections

General election in Kosovo 2025

Kosovo Election Results: February 9, 2025

Electoral Threshold

Kosovo's electoral threshold is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 40.6%.

Current Election Trend: Kosovo
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Kosovo
Results, coalitions, and historical data
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Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 46.7% of the seats.

LVV + PDK
Unknown
59.2%
LVV + LDK
Unknown
55.0%
PDK + LDK + LS + AAK
Unknown
53.3%
LVV + Other Parties
Unknown
46.7%
PDK + LDK + LS
Unknown
45.8%
LVV + AAK
Unknown
45.8%
PDK + LDK + AAK
Unknown
45.0%

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

4.38

Valicon

The final poll by Valicon deviated by an average of 4.38 percentage points per party from the actual Kosovo election results.
  • LVV
    +11.2
  • PDK
    -3.2
  • LDK
    -2.6
  • AAK
    +0.5

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

LVV

Self-determination Movement
Centre-Left
40.8
-9.5

PDK

Democratic Party of Kosovo
Centre-Right
22.2
+5.2

LDK

Democratic League of Kosovo
Centre-Right
17.6
+4.9

AAK

Alliance for the Future of Kosovo
Centre-Right
7.5
+0.5

Other Parties

Other Parties
Unknown
7.5
+2.1

LS

Serbian List
Regional
Right
4.4
-0.7

AKR/PD

New Kosovo Alliance / Democratic Party
Liberal
Centre-Right
2.3
+2.3

Data Sources and Methodology

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”