Kosovo Election Poll: Results from UBO Consulting on December 17, 2024

According to UBO Consulting data, 4 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Assembly of Kosovo: LVV with 63 representatives, PDK with 26 representatives, LDK with 23 representatives and AAK with 8 representatives.

Kosovo's Parliament, the Kuvendi i Kosovës, consists of 120 members, each serving a four-year term. The electoral system features nationwide proportional representation with open lists. Out of 120 seats, 100 are contested by all parties, while 20 are specifically reserved for national minority representatives, including 10 for the Serb community. Voters cast a ballot for a party and can further select up to five individual candidates from that party's list, empowering citizens with direct influence over their chosen representatives.

Kosovo mandates a 5% national electoral threshold for political parties. To secure any of the 100 open seats, parties must clear this hurdle. This rule aims to prevent parliamentary fragmentation and facilitate stable government formation. Significantly, this 5% threshold does not apply to parties and initiatives representing national minorities vying for reserved seats, ensuring smaller ethnic communities gain parliamentary representation irrespective of their population size.

Forming a government in Kosovo demands an absolute majority: at least 61 of the 120 parliamentary seats. Since no single party typically achieves this, coalitions are the standard. Post-election, the President nominates a Prime Minister candidate to Parliament, usually the leader of the strongest party. Constitutionally, the government must integrate representatives from national minorities, especially Serbs. This provision aims to bolster state stability and inclusivity, though it frequently triggers complex negotiations among political blocs.