Current election polls and polling data from SKDS

Latest voting intention survey by SKDS for Latvia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Latvia conducted by SKDS, the parties received the following results: LPV 16.5%, Nacionālā Apvienība 16%, Jaunā Vienotība 12.8%, ZZS 9.7%, AS 9.5%, Progresīvie 8.8%, Stabilitātei! 7.3%, SDPS 5.1%, SV 4.5%, LA 2.5%, LKS 2%, JKP 1.7%, Par! 1.4% and P21 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1813 people during the period 27.04.2025 - 27.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by LTV.
1813 participants
01.04.2025 - 27.04.2025
SKDS
LTV
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
LPV
+10.2
NA
+6.6
JV
-6.3
ZZS
-3.1
AS
-1.6
P
+2.6
S!
+0.5
S
+0.3
SV
+1.3
LA
New
LKS
-1.7
JKP
New
Par!
New
P21
New
LPV
16.5
+1.9
NA
16.0
-2.0
JV
12.8
+0.8
ZZS
9.7
+2.1
AS
9.5
+1.1
P
8.8
-2.4
S!
7.3
+0.6
S
5.1
-1.0
SV
4.5
-0.1
LA
2.5
-0.9
LKS
2.0
+2.0
JKP
1.7
±0.0
Par!
1.4
+0.1
P21
0.3
-0.2
Others
1.9
-2.0

Seats in parliament

100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
10
10%
S
6
6%
ZZS
11
11%
JV
15
15%
AS
11
11%
S!
8
8%
LPV
20
20%
NA
19
19%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AS
61.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
58.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
58.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
57.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība
54.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie + SDPS
53.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
51.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
50.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
50.0%
LPV + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
77

PolitPro Score

SKDS achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AS
13
78
9
JKP
0
100
0
JV
35
56
10
LA
0
92
8
LKS
0
87
13
LPV
7
66
28
NA
17
79
3
P
11
81
8
P21
Not enough data available
Par!
7
93
0
S
11
57
32
S!
8
80
12
SV
15
85
0
ZZS
3
68
29

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in SKDS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.48
 Parliamentary Election in Latvia 2022 1/2

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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