Current election polls and polling data from SKDS

Latest voting intention survey by SKDS for Latvia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Latvia conducted by SKDS, the parties received the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 16.5%, LPV 14.8%, Progresīvie 11.8%, Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1%, ZZS 8.1%, SV 6.8%, Stabilitātei! 5.2%, SDPS 3%, LA 2.3%, LKS 2.3%, Par! 1.6%, AS 1.5%, JKP 0.9% and P21 0.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1815 people during the period 04.11.2025 - 04.11.2025. The survey was commissioned by LTV.
1815 participants
25.10.2025 - 04.11.2025
SKDS
LTV
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
-2.6
LPV
+8.5
P
+5.6
NA
+1.7
ZZS
-4.7
SV
+3.6
S!
-1.6
S
-1.8
LA
New
LKS
-1.4
Par!
New
AS
-9.6
JKP
New
P21
New
JV
16.5
+5.0
LPV
14.8
+0.8
P
11.8
+0.2
NA
11.1
-4.3
ZZS
8.1
-2.3
SV
6.8
-0.5
S!
5.2
+0.1
S
3.0
-1.0
LA
2.3
-0.2
LKS
2.3
+1.3
Par!
1.6
-0.2
AS
1.5
-9.1
JKP
0.9
-0.8
P21
0.4
+0.1
Others
3.2
+10.9

Seats in parliament

100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
16
16%
ZZS
11
11%
JV
22
22%
S!
7
7%
LPV
20
20%
NA
15
15%
SV
9
9%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + SV
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + SV
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS
53.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + SV + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + SV
51.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + SV + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + SV + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
78

PolitPro Score

SKDS achieves a score of 78/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AS
12
81
8
JKP
0
100
0
JV
33
58
9
LA
0
94
6
LKS
0
88
13
LPV
6
69
25
NA
17
80
3
P
11
82
8
P21
Not enough data available
Par!
6
94
0
S
11
59
30
S!
7
82
11
SV
13
87
0
ZZS
5
68
27

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in SKDS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.48
 Parliamentary Election in Latvia 2022 1/2

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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