Current election polls and polling data from SKDS

Latest voting intention survey by SKDS for Latvia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Latvia conducted by SKDS, the parties received the following results: Nacionālā Apvienība 18%, LPV 14.6%, Jaunā Vienotība 12%, Progresīvie 11.2%, AS 8.4%, ZZS 7.6%, Stabilitātei! 6.7%, SDPS 6.1%, SV 4.6%, LA 3.4%, JKP 1.7%, PLV 1.4%, Par! 1.3% and P21 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1739 people during the period 30.12.2024 - 30.12.2024. The survey was commissioned by LTV.
1739 participants
01.12.2024 - 30.12.2024
SKDS
LTV
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
NA
+8.6
LPV
+8.3
JV
-7.1
P
+5.0
AS
-2.7
ZZS
-5.2
S!
-0.1
S
+1.3
SV
+1.4
LA
New
JKP
New
PLV
New
Par!
New
P21
New
NA
18.0
+1.8
LPV
14.6
+0.4
JV
12.0
-2.0
P
11.2
-0.3
AS
8.4
+0.3
ZZS
7.6
-1.3
S!
6.7
-1.3
S
6.1
±0.0
SV
4.6
+1.1
LA
3.4
-0.4
JKP
1.7
+0.1
PLV
1.4
+0.6
Par!
1.3
+0.2
P21
0.5
+0.3
Others
2.5
+0.5

Seats in parliament

100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
13
13%
S
7
7%
ZZS
9
9%
JV
14
14%
AS
10
10%
S!
8
8%
NA
22
22%
LPV
17
17%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + ZZS
58.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
58.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + Stabilitātei!
57.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + Jaunā Vienotība
53.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + ZZS + SDPS
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
52.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
51.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS
49.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
77

PolitPro Score

SKDS achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AS
13
78
9
JKP
0
100
0
JV
35
56
10
LA
0
92
8
LPV
7
66
28
NA
17
79
3
P
11
81
8
P21
Not enough data available
PLV
0
100
0
Par!
7
93
0
S
11
57
32
S!
8
80
12
SV
15
85
0
ZZS
3
68
29

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in SKDS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.48
 Parliamentary Election in Lettland 2022 1/2

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!