Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.03.2021

Latvia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
18.3
-3.7
NA
13.5
+2.2
ZZS
11.8
-3.8
JV
11.6
+3.6
AP!
9.4
+0.1
P
7.7
+0.1
K
7.2
-3.1
LK
6.8
+6.8
LKS
5.4
+1.3
LRA
4.8
-1.0
Others
3.5
-2.5
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
S
+13.5
NA
+4.1
ZZS
-1.0
JV
-7.5
AP!
+4.3
P
+1.5
K
+4.0
LK
New
LKS
+1.7
LRA
New
SKDS – 1806 respondents – 01.03.2021-31.03.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AP! lower

In 37% of election polls SKDS rates AP! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: SDPS 18.3%, Nacionālā Apvienība 13.5%, ZZS 11.8%, Jaunā Vienotība 11.6%, AP! 9.4%, Progresīvie 7.7%, K 7.2%, LuK 6.8%, LKS 5.4% and LRA 4.8%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.5 growth since the last election. Jaunā Vienotība, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 46.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1806 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.03.2021 - 31.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

100
Majority requires 51 seats
S
20
20%
P
8
8%
LKS
6
6%
AP!
10
10%
ZZS
13
13%
JV
13
13%
K
8
8%
NA
15
15%
LK
7
7%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LuK
56.0%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
56.0%
SDPS + ZZS + K + Progresīvie + LKS
55.0%
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + Progresīvie + LKS
55.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LKS
55.0%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + K
54.0%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AP! + K + LuK
53.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LuK
53.0%
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + Progresīvie
52.0%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + LKS
52.0%
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + K
51.0%
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K
51.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
51.0%
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + Progresīvie
51.0%
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + Progresīvie
51.0%
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LuK
51.0%
SDPS + ZZS + K + Progresīvie
49.0%
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + Progresīvie
49.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + K
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.03.2021 and 31.03.2021 among 1806 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDPS 18.3%, Nacionālā Apvienība 13.5%, ZZS 11.8%, Jaunā Vienotība 11.6%, AP! 9.4%, Progresīvie 7.7%, K 7.2%, LuK 6.8%, LKS 5.4% and LRA 4.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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