Latvia: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
19.0
-0.3
ZZS
12.9
-2.0
JV
12.8
+1.3
NA
12.3
-2.5
AP!
9.4
+0.5
K
6.7
+0.7
LRA
5.9
+1.5
LKS
5.9
+0.6
LK
5.7
+0.4
P
5.0
-1.9
Others
4.4
+1.7
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
SKDS – 1801 respondents – 04.08.2021-04.08.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates AP! lower
In 37% of election polls SKDS rates AP! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower
In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS higher
In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: SDPS 19%, ZZS 12.9%, Jaunā Vienotība 12.8%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.3%, AP! 9.4%, K 6.7%, LRA 5.9%, LKS 5.9%, LuK 5.7% and Progresīvie 5%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.2 growth since the last election. Jaunā Vienotība, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1801 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (04.08.2021 - 04.08.2021).
Coalition possibilities
100
Majority requires 51 seats
S
20
20%
P
5
5%
LKS
6
6%
AP!
10
10%
ZZS
14
14%
LRA
6
6%
JV
13
13%
K
7
7%
NA
13
13%
LK
6
6%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + LuK
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + Progresīvie
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + LRA + Progresīvie
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + K
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + LRA + Progresīvie
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LuK
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + LKS
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LKS
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie
SDPS + ZZS + K + LRA + Progresīvie
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LRA + LuK
SDPS + ZZS + K + LKS + Progresīvie
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LRA + Progresīvie
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + K
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + K + LKS + Progresīvie
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + LRA
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + K + LRA
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + K + LuK
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LuK
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + LRA
SDPS + ZZS + AP! + Progresīvie
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + Progresīvie
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LRA
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + LuK
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + LRA + LuK
ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + LRA + LuK
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 04.08.2021 1801. After this election poll would get SDPS 19%, ZZS 12.9%, Jaunā Vienotība 12.8%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.3%, AP! 9.4%, K 6.7%, LRA 5.9%, LKS 5.9%, LuK 5.7% and Progresīvie 5%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.