Latvia: Poll by Factum from 20.09.2022

Polling data

JV
22.6
+1.9
NA
9.3
-1.5
AS
9.0
+0.6
P
8.8
+1.3
S
8.0
-1.2
ZZS
7.0
-1.6
AP!
6.3
-2.5
S!
6.2
-0.4
LPV
5.0
+0.2
LKS
4.8
+0.6
K
4.6
-0.5
KuK
4.0
+2.3
SV
1.4
+1.4
R
1.0
-0.2
Others
2.0
0.0
Factum – 2162 respondents – 15.09.2022-20.09.2022
Institute often rates AP! higher
In 34% of election polls, Factum rates AP! higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates JV higher
In 55% of election polls, Factum rates JV higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS lower
In 61% of election polls Factum rates SDPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZZS lower
In 36% of election polls Factum rates ZZS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

JV + AS + Progresīvie + SDPS
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + ZZS
JV + AS + Progresīvie + ZZS
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + AP!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
JV + AS + Progresīvie + AP!
JV + AS + SDPS + ZZS
JV + AS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
JV + Progresīvie + SDPS + ZZS
JV + AS + SDPS + AP!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + LPV
JV + AS + SDPS + Stabilitātei!
JV + Progresīvie + SDPS + AP!
JV + Progresīvie + SDPS + Stabilitātei!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AP!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
JV + AS + ZZS + AP!
JV + Progresīvie + ZZS + AP!
JV + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
JV + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + Stabilitātei!
JV + AS + AP! + Stabilitātei!
JV + Progresīvie + AP! + Stabilitātei!
JV + SDPS + ZZS + AP!
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + LPV
JV + SDPS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
JV + AS + ZZS + LPV
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + LPV
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + LPV
JV + SDPS + AP! + Stabilitātei!
JV + AS + AP! + LPV
JV + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
JV + ZZS + AP! + Stabilitātei!
JV + ZZS + AP! + LPV
JV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
49.7
JV + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
JV + AS + Progresīvie
49.1


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 46.5% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by Factum. The survey took place between 15.09.2022 and 20.09.2022 among 2162 eligible voters. After this election poll would get JV 22.6%, Nacionālā Apvienība 9.3%, AS 9%, Progresīvie 8.8%, SDPS 8%, ZZS 7%, AP! 6.3%, Stabilitātei! 6.2%, LPV 5%, LKS 4.8%, K 4.6%, KuK 4%, SV 1.4% and Republika 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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