Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 30.06.2023

Polling data

JV
18.9
±0.0
P
14.7
+3.9
LPV
14.1
+0.6
ZZS
11.1
-1.7
NA
10.2
-0.4
AS
8.9
-0.2
S!
6.6
-1.2
S
5.6
+0.1
LA
2.1
+2.1
SV
2.0
-0.1
K
1.7
-0.6
Par!
1.5
-0.1
Others
2.6
-2.4
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
-0.2
P
+8.5
LPV
+7.8
ZZS
-1.7
NA
+0.8
AS
-2.2
S!
-0.2
S
+0.8
LA
New
SV
-1.2
K
-1.5
Par!
New
SKDS – 1797 respondents – 01.06.2023-30.06.2023

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 36% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LPV higher

In 30% of election polls, SKDS rates LPV higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 33% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ZZS higher

In 30% of election polls, SKDS rates ZZS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 18.9%, Progresīvie 14.7%, LPV 14.1%, ZZS 11.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.2%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 6.6%, SDPS 5.6%, LA 2.1%, SV 2%, K 1.7% and Par! 1.5%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.5 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 32.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1797 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.06.2023 - 30.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
17
16.3%
S
6
6.2%
ZZS
12
12.3%
JV
21
21%
AS
10
9.9%
S!
7
7.3%
LPV
16
15.6%
NA
11
11.3%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
60.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + AS
60.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + AS
59.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
58.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + SDPS
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
56.0%
LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + SDPS
54.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
54.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Progresīvie + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
52.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + SDPS
49.0%
LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.06.2023 and 30.06.2023 among 1797 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 18.9%, Progresīvie 14.7%, LPV 14.1%, ZZS 11.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.2%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 6.6%, SDPS 5.6%, LA 2.1%, SV 2%, K 1.7% and Par! 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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