Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 30.06.2023

Polling data

JV
18.9
±0.0
P
14.7
+3.9
LPV
14.1
+0.6
ZZS
11.1
-1.7
NA
10.2
-0.4
AS
8.9
-0.2
S!
6.6
-1.2
S
5.6
+0.1
LA
2.1
+2.1
SV
2.0
-0.1
K
1.7
-0.6
Par!
1.5
-0.1
Sonst.
2.6
-2.4
SKDS – 1797 respondents – 01.06.2023-30.06.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower
In 42% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS higher
In 38% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 18.9%, Progresīvie 14.7%, LPV 14.1%, ZZS 11.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.2%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 6.6%, SDPS 5.6%, LA 2.1%, SV 2%, K 1.7% and Par! 1.5%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.5 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 32.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1797 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.06.2023 - 30.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

100
P
17
S
6
ZZS
12
JV
21
AS
10
S!
7
LPV
16
NA
11
Majority requires 51 seats
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + SDPS
Progresīvie + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + SDPS
LPV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.06.2023 and 30.06.2023 among 1797 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 18.9%, Progresīvie 14.7%, LPV 14.1%, ZZS 11.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.2%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 6.6%, SDPS 5.6%, LA 2.1%, SV 2%, K 1.7% and Par! 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.