Upcoming elections:

Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.07.2023

Polling data

JV
22.3
+3.4
P
14.0
-0.7
ZZS
11.8
+0.7
LPV
11.4
-2.7
NA
8.8
-1.4
S!
7.5
+0.9
AS
7.2
-1.7
S
4.9
-0.7
K
2.6
+0.9
Par!
2.5
+1.0
SV
2.1
+0.1
LA
2.0
-0.1
P21
0.4
+0.4
Sonst.
2.5
-0.1
SKDS – 1805 respondents – 01.07.2023-31.07.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 22.3%, Progresīvie 14%, ZZS 11.8%, LPV 11.4%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.8%, Stabilitātei! 7.5%, AS 7.2%, SDPS 4.9%, K 2.6%, Par! 2.5%, SV 2.1%, LA 2% and P21 0.4%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 37.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1805 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.07.2023 - 31.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

100
P
17
ZZS
14
JV
27
S!
9
AS
9
LPV
14
NA
10
Majority requires 51 seats
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei! + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS
ZZS + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + LPV
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS
Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.07.2023 and 31.07.2023 among 1805 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 22.3%, Progresīvie 14%, ZZS 11.8%, LPV 11.4%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.8%, Stabilitātei! 7.5%, AS 7.2%, SDPS 4.9%, K 2.6%, Par! 2.5%, SV 2.1%, LA 2% and P21 0.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.