Latvia
Election trend
Parties
Coalitions
Institutes
Elections

Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.07.2023

Polling data

JV
22.3
+3.4
P
14.0
-0.7
ZZS
11.8
+0.7
LPV
11.4
-2.7
NA
8.8
-1.4
S!
7.5
+0.9
AS
7.2
-1.7
S
4.9
-0.7
K
2.6
+0.9
Par!
2.5
+1.0
SV
2.1
+0.1
LA
2.0
-0.1
P21
0.4
+0.4
Sonst.
2.5
0.0
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
+3.2
P
+7.8
ZZS
-1.0
LPV
+5.1
NA
-0.6
S!
+0.7
AS
-3.9
S
+0.1
K
-0.6
Par!
SV
-1.1
LA
P21
SKDS – 1805 respondents – 01.07.2023-31.07.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates JV lower
In 40% of election polls SKDS rates JV lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS higher
In 38% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZZS higher
In 31% of election polls, SKDS rates ZZS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: JV 22.3%, Progresīvie 14%, ZZS 11.8%, LPV 11.4%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.8%, Stabilitātei! 7.5%, AS 7.2%, SDPS 4.9%, K 2.6%, Par! 2.5%, SV 2.1%, LA 2% and P21 0.4%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and JV. With 37.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1805 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.07.2023 - 31.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

JV + Progresīvie + ZZS
58.0
JV + ZZS + LPV
54.8
JV + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
52.8
JV + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
51.7
JV + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība
51.2
JV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
50.1

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.07.2023 and 31.07.2023 among 1805 eligible voters. After this election poll would get JV 22.3%, Progresīvie 14%, ZZS 11.8%, LPV 11.4%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.8%, Stabilitātei! 7.5%, AS 7.2%, SDPS 4.9%, K 2.6%, Par! 2.5%, SV 2.1%, LA 2% and P21 0.4%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.