Latvia
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Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.03.2024

Polling data

NA
13.9
+0.9
JV
13.6
-2.4
P
13.6
+0.3
LPV
11.1
±0.0
ZZS
10.3
+0.2
S!
8.4
+0.2
AS
8.2
-0.2
S
7.3
+1.4
LA
3.1
+0.4
SV
2.9
±0.0
Par!
2.5
±0.0
JKP
2.2
-0.5
PLV
1.1
-0.2
P21
0.3
-0.4
Sonst.
1.5
+0.3
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
NA
+4.5
JV
-5.5
P
+7.4
LPV
+4.8
ZZS
-2.5
S!
+1.6
AS
-2.9
S
+2.5
LA
New
SV
-0.3
Par!
New
JKP
New
PLV
New
P21
New
SKDS – 1785 respondents – 01.03.2024-31.03.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 37% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LPV higher

In 31% of election polls, SKDS rates LPV higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 33% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ZZS higher

In 30% of election polls, SKDS rates ZZS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Nacionālā Apvienība 13.9%, Jaunā Vienotība 13.6%, Progresīvie 13.6%, LPV 11.1%, ZZS 10.3%, Stabilitātei! 8.4%, AS 8.2%, SDPS 7.3%, LA 3.1%, SV 2.9%, Par! 2.5%, JKP 2.2%, PLV 1.1% and P21 0.3%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. Jaunā Vienotība, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 31.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1785 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.03.2024 - 31.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

100
P
16
S
8
ZZS
12
JV
16
S!
10
AS
9
NA
16
LPV
13
Majority requires 51 seats
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS
57
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AS + SDPS
55
Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AS + SDPS
55
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
55
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS
54
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + AS
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + SDPS
52
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + Stabilitātei! + AS
51
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + AS
51
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
51
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + AS
50
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
51
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + AS
50
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
50
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + SDPS
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.03.2024 and 31.03.2024 among 1785 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Nacionālā Apvienība 13.9%, Jaunā Vienotība 13.6%, Progresīvie 13.6%, LPV 11.1%, ZZS 10.3%, Stabilitātei! 8.4%, AS 8.2%, SDPS 7.3%, LA 3.1%, SV 2.9%, Par! 2.5%, JKP 2.2%, PLV 1.1% and P21 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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