Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 15.05.2024

Polling data

NA
18.1
+1.0
JV
14.6
-2.0
P
10.6
+1.0
S
9.5
-0.6
LPV
8.3
+0.1
AS
8.0
+1.9
LA
6.9
-2.0
S!
5.5
-0.9
SV
4.2
+0.4
ZZS
4.2
+0.8
JKP
2.7
-0.8
Others
7.4
+1.1
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
NA
+8.7
JV
-4.5
P
+4.4
S
+4.7
LPV
+2.0
AS
-3.1
LA
New
S!
-1.3
SV
+1.0
ZZS
-8.6
JKP
New
SKDS – 1505 respondents – 10.05.2024-15.05.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Nacionālā Apvienība 18.1%, Jaunā Vienotība 14.6%, Progresīvie 10.6%, SDPS 9.5%, LPV 8.3%, AS 8%, LA 6.9%, Stabilitātei! 5.5%, SV 4.2%, ZZS 4.2% and JKP 2.7%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Nacionālā Apvienība might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. ZZS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 36.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1505 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (10.05.2024 - 15.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
JKP
2
2.1%
P
11
11.5%
S
10
10.4%
LA
7
7.3%
ZZS
4
4.2%
JV
16
16.7%
AS
9
9.4%
S!
5
5.2%
NA
19
19.8%
LPV
9
9.4%
SV
4
4.2%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS
55.2%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + SDPS + AS + LA
55.2%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS + SV
54.2%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + SV
54.2%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + SDPS + AS + Stabilitātei!
53.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + LA
53.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LA + Stabilitātei! + ZZS
53.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + LA
53.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LA + Stabilitātei! + SV
53.1%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + SDPS + AS + ZZS
52.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LA + ZZS + SV
52.1%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + SDPS + LA + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + LA + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + SV
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + Stabilitātei! + ZZS + SV
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + SV
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + SDPS + LA + ZZS
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + LA + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + LA + ZZS
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + LA + SV
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + LA + ZZS
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AS + LA + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + LA + Stabilitātei!
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 10.05.2024 and 15.05.2024 among 1505 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Nacionālā Apvienība 18.1%, Jaunā Vienotība 14.6%, Progresīvie 10.6%, SDPS 9.5%, LPV 8.3%, AS 8%, LA 6.9%, Stabilitātei! 5.5%, SV 4.2%, ZZS 4.2% and JKP 2.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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