Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 23.10.2018

Latvia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
19.2
±0.0
PCL
11.5
±0.0
K
10.1
±0.0
AP!
8.9
±0.0
NA
8.4
±0.0
ZZS
5.4
±0.0
JV
4.4
±0.0
LRA
4.2
±0.0
P
1.7
±0.0
LKS
1.4
±0.0
Others
24.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
S
+14.4
PCL
New
K
+6.9
AP!
+3.8
NA
-1.0
ZZS
-7.4
JV
-14.7
LRA
New
P
-4.5
LKS
-2.3
SKDS – 900 respondents – 13.10.2018-23.10.2018

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AP! lower

In 37% of election polls SKDS rates AP! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: SDPS 19.2%, PCL 11.5%, K 10.1%, AP! 8.9%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.4%, ZZS 5.4%, Jaunā Vienotība 4.4%, LRA 4.2%, Progresīvie 1.7% and LKS 1.4%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.4 growth since the last election. Jaunā Vienotība, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 61.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 900 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (13.10.2018 - 23.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

100
Majority requires 51 seats
S
31
31%
AP!
14
14%
ZZS
8
8%
K
16
16%
PCL
18
18%
NA
13
13%
SDPS + PCL + K
65.0%
SDPS + PCL + AP!
63.0%
SDPS + K + AP!
61.0%
PCL + K + AP! + Nacionālā Apvienība
61.0%
SDPS + PCL + ZZS
57.0%
PCL + K + AP! + ZZS
56.0%
SDPS + K + ZZS
55.0%
PCL + K + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
55.0%
SDPS + AP! + ZZS
53.0%
PCL + AP! + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
53.0%
K + AP! + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
51.0%
SDPS + PCL
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 13.10.2018 and 23.10.2018 among 900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDPS 19.2%, PCL 11.5%, K 10.1%, AP! 8.9%, Nacionālā Apvienība 8.4%, ZZS 5.4%, Jaunā Vienotība 4.4%, LRA 4.2%, Progresīvie 1.7% and LKS 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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