Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 16.10.2019

Latvia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
22.7
-0.8
ZZS
14.1
+0.5
NA
12.9
-1.5
K
11.8
+0.1
JV
11.4
-2.0
AP!
9.2
-0.7
P
4.9
+1.5
PCL
4.4
-0.1
LRA
3.9
-0.1
LKS
3.9
±0.0
Others
0.8
+3.1
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
S
+17.9
ZZS
+1.3
NA
+3.5
K
+8.6
JV
-7.7
AP!
+4.1
P
-1.3
PCL
New
LRA
New
LKS
+0.2
SKDS – 909 respondents – 05.10.2019-16.10.2019

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AP! lower

In 37% of election polls SKDS rates AP! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: SDPS 22.7%, ZZS 14.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.9%, K 11.8%, Jaunā Vienotība 11.4%, AP! 9.2%, Progresīvie 4.9%, PCL 4.4%, LRA 3.9% and LKS 3.9%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.9 growth since the last election. Jaunā Vienotība, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 55.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 909 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (05.10.2019 - 16.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

100
Majority requires 51 seats
S
28
28%
AP!
11
11%
ZZS
17
17%
K
14
14%
JV
14
14%
NA
16
16%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + K + Jaunā Vienotība
61.0%
SDPS + ZZS + K
59.0%
SDPS + ZZS + Jaunā Vienotība
59.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + K + AP!
58.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
58.0%
SDPS + K + Jaunā Vienotība
56.0%
SDPS + ZZS + AP!
56.0%
ZZS + K + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
56.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + K + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
55.0%
SDPS + K + AP!
53.0%
SDPS + Jaunā Vienotība + AP!
53.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 05.10.2019 and 16.10.2019 among 909 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDPS 22.7%, ZZS 14.1%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.9%, K 11.8%, Jaunā Vienotība 11.4%, AP! 9.2%, Progresīvie 4.9%, PCL 4.4%, LRA 3.9% and LKS 3.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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