Current election polls and polling data from Baltijos tyrimai

Latest voting intention survey by Baltijos tyrimai for Lithuania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Lithuania conducted by Baltijos tyrimai, the parties received the following results: LSDP 22.9%, NA 17.1%, DSVL 14.8%, TS-LKD 13.7%, LVŽS 8.5%, LS 4.8%, LLRA-KŠS 3.5%, LRP 3.4%, DP 3.3%, LT 2.9%, Laisvės 2.1%, LŽP 1.2%, NS 1% and TTS 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1018 people during the period 01.12.2024 - 01.12.2024.
1018 participants
12.11.2024 - 01.12.2024
Baltijos tyrimai
LSDP
22.9
+1.0
NA
17.1
+6.0
DSVL
14.8
+2.0
TS-LKD
13.7
+1.2
LVŽS
8.5
-3.1
LS
4.8
-0.9
LLRA-KŠS
3.5
-0.1
LRP
3.4
-0.9
DP
3.3
-4.4
LT
2.9
-0.4
LP
2.1
-1.5
LŽP
1.2
-0.2
NS
1.0
±0.0
TTS
0.3
-1.6
Others
0.5
+2.9

Seats in parliament

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
32
22.7%
LSDP
42
29.8%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
DSVL
27
19.1%
TS-LKD
25
17.7%
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
66.7%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
59.6%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
59.6%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
59.6%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + NA
52.5%
NA + DSVL + LVŽS
52.5%
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS
51.1%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates DP higher

In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 71% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 38% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 46% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 31% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NA lower

In 63% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates NA lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 67% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TTS higher

In 43% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates TTS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DP
0
61
39
DSVL
0
29
71
LLRA-KŠS
8
63
29
LP
38
58
4
LRP
6
82
12
LS
Not enough data available
LSDP
26
28
46
LT
0
62
38
LVŽS
31
46
23
LŽP
Not enough data available
NA
63
25
13
NS
Not enough data available
TS-LKD
67
26
8
TTS
29
29
43

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.