Current election polls and polling data from Norstat

Latest voting intention survey by Norstat for Lithuania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Lithuania conducted by Norstat, the parties received the following results: TS-LKD 27.1%, LSDP 15.6%, NA 12.7%, LS 11.2%, DSVL 10.6%, Laisvės 5.9% and LVŽS 5.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 28.02.2025 - 28.02.2025.
1500 participants
10.02.2025 - 28.02.2025
Norstat
TS-LKD
27.1
-5.6
LSDP
15.6
+2.6
NA
12.7
+12.7
LS
11.2
+11.2
DSVL
10.6
+10.6
LP
5.9
±0.0
LVŽS
5.9
-9.5
Others
11.0
-22.0

Seats in parliament

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
20
14.2%
LSDP
25
17.7%
LS
18
12.8%
LP
9
6.4%
LVŽS
9
6.4%
DSVL
17
12.1%
TS-LKD
43
30.5%
TS-LKD + LSDP + NA
62.4%
TS-LKD + LSDP + LS
61.0%
TS-LKD + LSDP + DSVL
60.3%
TS-LKD + NA + LS
57.4%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + NA + LS + DSVL
56.7%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + NA + LS + DSVL
56.7%
TS-LKD + LS + LVŽS + Laisvės
56.0%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
55.3%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + LSDP + LVŽS
54.6%
TS-LKD + LSDP + Laisvės
54.6%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS
51.1%
TS-LKD + NA + Laisvės
51.1%
LSDP + NA + LS + LVŽS
51.1%
LSDP + NA + LS + Laisvės
51.1%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
50.4%
TS-LKD + LS + LVŽS
49.6%
TS-LKD + LS + Laisvės
49.6%

?

PolitPro Score

Norstat achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DSVL
Not enough data available
LP
Not enough data available
LS
Not enough data available
LSDP
Not enough data available
LVŽS
Not enough data available
NA
Not enough data available
TS-LKD
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.