Latest polls from Vilmorus
32.8
12.7
12.5
12.4
5.9
5.9
5.1
4.6
3.6
2
2.5
32.1
12.7
12.2
10.6
9
4.4
4.3
3.8
3.6
3
2.1
2.2
29.1
15
12.1
11.8
7.6
4.7
4.4
3.9
3.9
3.4
2.6
1.5
Rating of parties
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 35% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS higher
In 36% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LVŽS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Vilmorus pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Vilmorus's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction