Current election polls and polling data from Vilmorus

Latest voting intention survey by Vilmorus for Lithuania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Lithuania conducted by Vilmorus, the parties received the following results: LSDP 24.3%, NA 20.7%, LS 13.5%, TS-LKD 11.8%, DSVL 10.8%, LVŽS 9.6%, NS 3.1%, LLRA-KŠS 2.2% and LT 1.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 16.11.2024 - 16.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Lietuvos rytas.
1000 participants
07.11.2024 - 16.11.2024
Vilmorus
Lietuvos rytas
LSDP
24.3
-2.1
NA
20.7
+4.0
LS
13.5
+6.0
TS-LKD
11.8
-1.5
DSVL
10.8
+1.3
LVŽS
9.6
+0.5
NS
3.1
+2.0
LLRA-KŠS
2.2
+0.3
LT
1.9
+0.2
Others
2.1
-10.7

Seats in parliament

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
32
22.7%
LSDP
38
27%
LS
21
14.9%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
DSVL
17
12.1%
TS-LKD
18
12.8%
LSDP + NA + LS
64.5%
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
62.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
61.7%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
61.7%
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
60.3%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
60.3%
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + LS + TS-LKD
54.6%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
53.9%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
53.9%
LSDP + LS + LVŽS
52.5%
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
51.8%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
50.4%
NA + LS + TS-LKD
50.4%
LS + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LS + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
49.6%
LSDP + NA
49.6%
NA + LS + DSVL
49.6%

63

PolitPro Score

Vilmorus achieves a score of 63/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DSVL
27
67
7
LLRA-KŠS
7
88
5
LS
0
60
40
LSDP
20
39
41
LT
0
89
11
LVŽS
0
67
33
NA
Not enough data available
NS
Not enough data available
TS-LKD
7
69
24

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.