Baltijos tyrimai achieved a PolitPro Score of 28 out of 100.
On average, Baltijos tyrimai's figures deviate by 4.4 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 41% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated DP higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 68% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated DSVL higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 22% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LLRA-KŠS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 21% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LRLS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 40% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LSDP higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 23% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LVŽS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 29% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated Laisvės lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 30% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LRLS lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 26% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LSDP lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 36% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated LVŽS lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 74% of polls, Baltijos tyrimai rated TS-LKD lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.
On average, Baltijos tyrimai's figures deviate by 4.4 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
With an average deviation of 4.40 percentage points per party, Baltijos tyrimai ranks 2 out of 2.
Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).