Lithuania
Election trend
Parties

Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 20.12.2021

Polling data

TS-LKD
23.3
+3.5
LVŽS
19.7
+0.5
LRLS
12.1
+3.0
LP
11.7
+5.6
DP
8.1
-1.7
LSDP
7.8
-3.6
LLRA-KŠS
4.6
-0.2
Sonst.
12.7
-7.1
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
TS-LKD
-2.5
LVŽS
+1.6
LRLS
+5.1
LP
+2.2
DP
-1.7
LSDP
-1.8
LLRA-KŠS
-0.4
Spinter tyrimai – 1007 respondents – 10.12.2021-20.12.2021
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Laisvės higher
In 50% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP lower
In 59% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 37% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: TS-LKD 23.3%, LVŽS 19.7%, LRLS 12.1%, Laisvės 11.7%, DP 8.1%, LSDP 7.8% and LLRA-KŠS 4.6%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LRLS might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.1 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 23.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (10.12.2021 - 20.12.2021).

Coalition possibilities

141
DP
14
LSDP
13
LVŽS
34
LP
20
LRLS
20
TS-LKD
40
Majority requires 71 seats
LVŽS + LRLS + DP + LSDP
81
LVŽS + Laisvės + DP + LSDP
81
TS-LKD + LRLS + Laisvės
80
TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
74
LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
74
TS-LKD + LRLS + LSDP
73
TS-LKD + Laisvės + DP
74
TS-LKD + LVŽS
74
TS-LKD + Laisvės + LSDP
73

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 10.12.2021 and 20.12.2021 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get TS-LKD 23.3%, LVŽS 19.7%, LRLS 12.1%, Laisvės 11.7%, DP 8.1%, LSDP 7.8% and LLRA-KŠS 4.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.