Lithuania
Election trend
Parties

Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 02.10.2021

Polling data

LSDP
25.7
-0.2
TS-LKD
15.5
-0.2
LVŽS
15.1
-2.2
LRLS
11.2
+2.1
DP
7.8
+0.4
LP
4.1
-0.9
LLRA-KŠS
3.4
-2.1
Sonst.
17.2
+3.1
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+16.1
TS-LKD
-10.3
LVŽS
-3.0
LRLS
+4.2
DP
-2.0
LP
-5.4
LLRA-KŠS
-1.6
Baltijos tyrimai – 1004 respondents – 17.09.2021-02.10.2021
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 53% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 34% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 72% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 25.7%, TS-LKD 15.5%, LVŽS 15.1%, LRLS 11.2%, DP 7.8%, Laisvės 4.1% and LLRA-KŠS 3.4%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.1 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 20.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (17.09.2021 - 02.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
49
DP
14
LVŽS
28
LRLS
21
TS-LKD
29
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + LRLS + DP
84
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LRLS
78
LSDP + TS-LKD
78
LSDP + LVŽS
77
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP
71
LSDP + LRLS
70

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 17.09.2021 and 02.10.2021 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 25.7%, TS-LKD 15.5%, LVŽS 15.1%, LRLS 11.2%, DP 7.8%, Laisvės 4.1% and LLRA-KŠS 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.