Lithuania
Election trend
Parties

Lithuania: Poll by Vilmorus from 19.11.2022

Polling data

LSDP
24.3
+1.9
TS-LKD
17.2
-1.7
DSVL
13.1
+0.8
LVŽS
10.5
-1.2
LT
9.6
+9.6
LRLS
8.1
+1.7
DP
5.7
-0.2
LRP
3.4
-2.0
LLRA-KŠS
2.9
+1.0
TTS
1.3
+1.3
Sonst.
3.9
-11.2
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+14.7
TS-LKD
-8.6
DSVL
LVŽS
-7.6
LT
LRLS
+1.1
DP
-4.1
LRP
+0.1
LLRA-KŠS
-2.1
TTS
Vilmorus – 1000 respondents – 10.11.2022-19.11.2022
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates DSVL lower
In 30% of election polls Vilmorus rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 37% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS higher
In 35% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LVŽS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Vilmorus shows the following results: LSDP 24.3%, TS-LKD 17.2%, DSVL 13.1%, LVŽS 10.5%, LT 9.6%, LRLS 8.1%, DP 5.7%, LRP 3.4%, LLRA-KŠS 2.9% and TTS 1.3%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.7 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 11.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Vilmorus. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (10.11.2022 - 19.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
39
DP
9
LVŽS
17
DSVL
21
LRLS
13
TS-LKD
27
LT
15
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
87
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
83
LSDP + TS-LKD + LT
81
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LT
80
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
79
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS
78
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + DP
78
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
77
TS-LKD + DSVL + LT + LRLS
76
LSDP + LT + LRLS + DP
76
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
75
LSDP + DSVL + LT
75
DSVL + LVŽS + LT + LRLS + DP
75
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP
74
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
73
TS-LKD + DSVL + LT + DP
72
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LT + LRLS
72
LSDP + LVŽS + LT
71
TS-LKD + DSVL + LRLS + DP
70

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Vilmorus. The survey took place between 10.11.2022 and 19.11.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 24.3%, TS-LKD 17.2%, DSVL 13.1%, LVŽS 10.5%, LT 9.6%, LRLS 8.1%, DP 5.7%, LRP 3.4%, LLRA-KŠS 2.9% and TTS 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.