Lithuania
Election trend
Parties

Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 27.01.2023

Polling data

LSDP
17.6
+1.0
DSVL
17.3
+5.0
TS-LKD
16.4
-2.7
LVŽS
13.1
+0.3
LRLS
8.9
+0.4
LP
6.8
+2.5
DP
4.6
+0.9
Sonst.
15.3
-7.4
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+8.0
DSVL
TS-LKD
-9.4
LVŽS
-5.0
LRLS
+1.9
LP
-2.7
DP
-5.2
Spinter tyrimai – 1013 respondents – 18.01.2023-27.01.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Laisvės higher
In 50% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP lower
In 59% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 37% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 17.6%, DSVL 17.3%, TS-LKD 16.4%, LVŽS 13.1%, LRLS 8.9%, Laisvės 6.8% and DP 4.6%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.0 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 16.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (18.01.2023 - 27.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
31
LVŽS
23
LP
12
DSVL
31
LRLS
15
TS-LKD
29
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
91
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
85
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
83
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS
83
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
81
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
81
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
79
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
77
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
75
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS
75
LSDP + DSVL + Laisvės
74
LSDP + TS-LKD + Laisvės
72
DSVL + TS-LKD + Laisvės
72

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 18.01.2023 and 27.01.2023 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 17.6%, DSVL 17.3%, TS-LKD 16.4%, LVŽS 13.1%, LRLS 8.9%, Laisvės 6.8% and DP 4.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.