Lithuania
Election trend
Parties

Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 28.02.2023

Polling data

LSDP
18.3
-0.7
DSVL
18.3
-3.7
TS-LKD
14.3
-0.6
LVŽS
9.2
+2.5
DP
9.0
+2.6
LRLS
6.9
-2.6
LLRA-KŠS
4.9
+1.0
LRP
3.6
+3.6
LP
3.5
+0.5
LŽP
2.7
+2.7
TTS
2.4
+2.4
Sonst.
6.9
-7.7
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+8.7
DSVL
TS-LKD
-11.5
LVŽS
-8.9
DP
-0.8
LRLS
-0.1
LLRA-KŠS
-0.1
LRP
+0.3
LP
-6.0
LŽP
+1.0
TTS
Baltijos tyrimai – 1003 respondents – 15.02.2023-28.02.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 53% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 34% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 72% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 18.3%, DSVL 18.3%, TS-LKD 14.3%, LVŽS 9.2%, DP 9%, LRLS 6.9%, LLRA-KŠS 4.9%, LRP 3.6%, Laisvės 3.5%, LŽP 2.7% and TTS 2.4%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 12.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (15.02.2023 - 28.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
34
DP
16
LVŽS
17
DSVL
34
LRLS
13
TS-LKD
27
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
95
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
85
LSDP + DSVL + DP
84
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
81
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
80
DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
80
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
78
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS
78
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
77
DSVL + TS-LKD + DP
77
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
74
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS
74
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
73

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 15.02.2023 and 28.02.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 18.3%, DSVL 18.3%, TS-LKD 14.3%, LVŽS 9.2%, DP 9%, LRLS 6.9%, LLRA-KŠS 4.9%, LRP 3.6%, Laisvės 3.5%, LŽP 2.7% and TTS 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.