Upcoming elections:

Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 28.02.2023

Polling data

LSDP
18.3
-0.7
DSVL
18.3
-3.7
TS-LKD
14.3
-0.6
LVŽS
9.2
+2.5
DP
9.0
+2.6
LRLS
6.9
-2.6
LLRA-KŠS
4.9
+1.0
LRP
3.6
+3.6
LP
3.5
+0.5
LŽP
2.7
+2.7
TTS
2.4
+2.4
Sonst.
6.9
-7.7
Baltijos tyrimai – 1003 respondents – 15.02.2023-28.02.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 18.3%, DSVL 18.3%, TS-LKD 14.3%, LVŽS 9.2%, DP 9%, LRLS 6.9%, LLRA-KŠS 4.9%, LRP 3.6%, Laisvės 3.5%, LŽP 2.7% and TTS 2.4%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 12.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (15.02.2023 - 28.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
34
DP
16
LVŽS
17
DSVL
34
LRLS
13
TS-LKD
27
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + DP
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
DSVL + TS-LKD + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP + LRLS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 15.02.2023 and 28.02.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 18.3%, DSVL 18.3%, TS-LKD 14.3%, LVŽS 9.2%, DP 9%, LRLS 6.9%, LLRA-KŠS 4.9%, LRP 3.6%, Laisvės 3.5%, LŽP 2.7% and TTS 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.