Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 29.07.2023

Lithuania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
22.4
+0.5
TS-LKD
19.8
+4.5
DSVL
14.1
+0.6
LVŽS
13.8
+2.2
LRLS
12.3
-1.4
LP
4.9
-3.4
LT
4.5
-2.4
DP
4.4
-0.5
Others
3.8
-0.1
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
+2.7
TS-LKD
+1.5
DSVL
+4.7
LVŽS
+6.6
LRLS
New
LP
+0.3
LT
+3.7
DP
New
Spinter tyrimai – 1009 respondents – 20.07.2023-29.07.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DP lower

In 33% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL lower

In 55% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės higher

In 47% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LRLS higher

In 38% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates LRLS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP lower

In 67% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 56% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 37% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD higher

In 35% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.4%, TS-LKD 19.8%, DSVL 14.1%, LVŽS 13.8%, LRLS 12.3%, Laisvės 4.9%, LT 4.5% and DP 4.4%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LVŽS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. Laisvės, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+0.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 16.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (20.07.2023 - 29.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP
39
27.7%
LVŽS
23
16.3%
DSVL
24
17%
LRLS
21
14.9%
TS-LKD
34
24.1%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
61.0%
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
59.6%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS
58.9%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
57.4%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LRLS
56.0%
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LRLS
55.3%
LSDP + TS-LKD
51.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 20.07.2023 and 29.07.2023 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.4%, TS-LKD 19.8%, DSVL 14.1%, LVŽS 13.8%, LRLS 12.3%, Laisvės 4.9%, LT 4.5% and DP 4.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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