Upcoming elections:

Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 26.09.2023

Polling data

LSDP
22.8
+0.4
TS-LKD
15.4
-4.4
LRLS
12.7
+0.4
LVŽS
9.5
-4.3
DSVL
9.0
-5.1
LP
5.8
+0.9
LT
5.1
+0.6
DP
4.7
+0.3
LLRA-KŠS
3.6
+3.6
Sonst.
11.4
+7.6
Spinter tyrimai – 1013 respondents – 18.09.2023-26.09.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DP lower

In 33% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL lower

In 59% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės higher

In 50% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LRLS higher

In 38% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates LRLS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP lower

In 67% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 39% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD higher

In 35% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.8%, TS-LKD 15.4%, LRLS 12.7%, LVŽS 9.5%, DSVL 9%, Laisvės 5.8%, LT 5.1%, DP 4.7% and LLRA-KŠS 3.6%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LT might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 11.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (18.09.2023 - 26.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
40
LVŽS
17
LP
10
LRLS
22
DSVL
16
TS-LKD
27
LT
9
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + DSVL
LSDP + LRLS + LVŽS
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės + LT
LSDP + LRLS + DSVL
LSDP + TS-LKD + Laisvės
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + LT
LSDP + LVŽS + Laisvės + LT
TS-LKD + LRLS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + Laisvės + LT
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + LT
TS-LKD + LRLS + DSVL + LT
LRLS + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės + LT
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL
LSDP + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + LRLS + LT
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 18.09.2023 and 26.09.2023 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.8%, TS-LKD 15.4%, LRLS 12.7%, LVŽS 9.5%, DSVL 9%, Laisvės 5.8%, LT 5.1%, DP 4.7% and LLRA-KŠS 3.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.