Lithuania
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Elections

Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 28.10.2023

Polling data

LSDP
20.7
-2.1
TS-LKD
16.3
+0.9
LRLS
11.5
-1.2
LVŽS
10.1
+0.6
DSVL
8.5
-0.5
LP
5.4
-0.4
LLRA-KŠS
5.3
+1.7
LT
3.4
-1.7
LRP
3.3
+3.3
Sonst.
15.5
+0.0
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+11.1
TS-LKD
-9.5
LRLS
+4.5
LVŽS
-8.0
DSVL
LP
-4.1
LLRA-KŠS
+0.3
LT
LRP
±0.0
Spinter tyrimai – 1011 respondents – 17.10.2023-28.10.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Laisvės higher
In 48% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP lower
In 55% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 39% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 20.7%, TS-LKD 16.3%, LRLS 11.5%, LVŽS 10.1%, DSVL 8.5%, Laisvės 5.4%, LLRA-KŠS 5.3%, LT 3.4% and LRP 3.3%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.1 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 13.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1011 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (17.10.2023 - 28.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
62.4
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
60.6
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + DSVL
59.7
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
58.5
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + Laisvės
55.7
TS-LKD + LRLS + LVŽS + LLRA-KŠS
55.6
LSDP + LRLS + Laisvės + LLRA-KŠS
55.1
LSDP + TS-LKD + Laisvės
54.5
LSDP + LRLS + LVŽS
54.4
LSDP + TS-LKD + LLRA-KŠS
54.4
TS-LKD + LRLS + DSVL + Laisvės
53.6
TS-LKD + LRLS + DSVL + LLRA-KŠS
53.5
LSDP + LVŽS + Laisvės + LLRA-KŠS
53.3
LRLS + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės + LLRA-KŠS
52.4
LSDP + LRLS + DSVL
52.3
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės
51.8
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + LLRA-KŠS
51.7
LSDP + DSVL + Laisvės + LLRA-KŠS
51.2
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL
50.5
TS-LKD + LRLS + Laisvės + LLRA-KŠS
49.5

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.lt was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 17.10.2023 and 28.10.2023 among 1011 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 20.7%, TS-LKD 16.3%, LRLS 11.5%, LVŽS 10.1%, DSVL 8.5%, Laisvės 5.4%, LLRA-KŠS 5.3%, LT 3.4% and LRP 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.