Lithuania: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
21.0
-5.0
DSVL
17.2
+3.6
LVŽS
14.1
-0.1
TS-LKD
13.5
+1.6
LRLS
7.9
-2.0
DP
7.2
-2.6
LRP
5.0
+0.3
LP
4.5
+1.7
LT
4.0
+0.5
LLRA-KŠS
3.3
+1.9
TTS
2.1
+0.7
Others
0.2
-0.6
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
Baltijos tyrimai – 1017 respondents – 15.12.2023-30.12.2023
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates DP higher
In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DSVL higher
In 73% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 37% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 48% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LT higher
In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 68% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TTS higher
In 43% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates TTS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 21%, DSVL 17.2%, LVŽS 14.1%, TS-LKD 13.5%, LRLS 7.9%, DP 7.2%, LRP 5%, Laisvės 4.5%, LT 4%, LLRA-KŠS 3.3% and TTS 2.1%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LRLS might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 22.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (15.12.2023 - 30.12.2023).
Coalition possibilities
141
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP
35
24.8%
DP
12
8.5%
LRP
8
5.7%
LVŽS
23
16.3%
DSVL
28
19.9%
LRLS
13
9.2%
TS-LKD
22
15.6%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
LSDP + LVŽS + TS-LKD
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LVŽS + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP + LRP
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + DP
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
DSVL + LVŽS + TS-LKD
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS
LSDP + DSVL + LRP
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + DP
LVŽS + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
DSVL + TS-LKD + DP + LRP
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 15.12.2023 and 30.12.2023 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 21%, DSVL 17.2%, LVŽS 14.1%, TS-LKD 13.5%, LRLS 7.9%, DP 7.2%, LRP 5%, Laisvės 4.5%, LT 4%, LLRA-KŠS 3.3% and TTS 2.1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.