Upcoming elections:

Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 30.12.2023

Polling data

LSDP
21.0
-5.0
DSVL
17.2
+3.6
LVŽS
14.1
-0.1
TS-LKD
13.5
+1.6
LRLS
7.9
-2.0
DP
7.2
-2.6
LRP
5.0
+0.3
LP
4.5
+1.7
LT
4.0
+0.5
LLRA-KŠS
3.3
+1.9
TTS
2.1
+0.7
Sonst.
0.2
-0.6
Baltijos tyrimai – 1017 respondents – 15.12.2023-30.12.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates DP higher
In 34% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DSVL higher
In 70% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 39% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 54% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 31% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 71% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 21%, DSVL 17.2%, LVŽS 14.1%, TS-LKD 13.5%, LRLS 7.9%, DP 7.2%, LRP 5%, Laisvės 4.5%, LT 4%, LLRA-KŠS 3.3% and TTS 2.1%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.4 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 22.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (15.12.2023 - 30.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

141
LSDP
35
DP
12
LRP
8
LVŽS
23
DSVL
28
LRLS
13
TS-LKD
22
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
LSDP + LVŽS + TS-LKD
LVŽS + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP + LRP
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + DP
DSVL + LVŽS + TS-LKD
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LSDP + DSVL + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS
DSVL + TS-LKD + DP + LRP
LVŽS + TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + DP

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 15.12.2023 and 30.12.2023 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 21%, DSVL 17.2%, LVŽS 14.1%, TS-LKD 13.5%, LRLS 7.9%, DP 7.2%, LRP 5%, Laisvės 4.5%, LT 4%, LLRA-KŠS 3.3% and TTS 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.