Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 29.01.2024

Lithuania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
22.3
-3.7
DSVL
13.7
+0.1
LVŽS
13.7
-0.5
TS-LKD
12.0
+0.1
DP
7.4
-2.4
LRLS
5.8
-4.1
LRP
5.2
+0.5
LP
4.8
+2.0
LT
4.1
+0.6
NA
2.7
+2.7
Others
8.3
+4.7
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
+2.6
DSVL
+4.3
LVŽS
+6.5
TS-LKD
-6.3
DP
New
LRLS
New
LRP
+3.3
LP
+0.2
LT
+3.3
NA
-12.6
Baltijos tyrimai – 1021 respondents – 19.01.2024-29.01.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DP higher

In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 73% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 37% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 48% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NA lower

In 56% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates NA lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 68% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.3%, DSVL 13.7%, LVŽS 13.7%, TS-LKD 12%, DP 7.4%, LRLS 5.8%, LRP 5.2%, Laisvės 4.8%, LT 4.1% and NA 2.7%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LVŽS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.5 growth since the last election. NA, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 23.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1021 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (19.01.2024 - 29.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP
40
28.4%
DP
13
9.2%
LRP
9
6.4%
LVŽS
24
17%
DSVL
24
17%
LRLS
10
7.1%
TS-LKD
21
14.9%
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL
62.4%
LSDP + LVŽS + TS-LKD
60.3%
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
60.3%
LVŽS + DSVL + TS-LKD + DP
58.2%
LVŽS + DSVL + TS-LKD + LRLS
56.0%
LVŽS + DSVL + TS-LKD + LRP
55.3%
LSDP + LVŽS + DP
54.6%
LVŽS + TS-LKD + DP + LRLS + LRP
54.6%
LSDP + DSVL + DP
54.6%
DSVL + TS-LKD + DP + LRLS + LRP
54.6%
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
52.5%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS
52.5%
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
52.5%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRP
51.8%
LSDP + DSVL + LRP
51.8%
LSDP + DP + LRLS + LRP
51.1%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
50.4%
LVŽS + DSVL + DP + LRLS
50.4%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRP
49.6%
LVŽS + DSVL + DP + LRP
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 19.01.2024 and 29.01.2024 among 1021 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.3%, DSVL 13.7%, LVŽS 13.7%, TS-LKD 12%, DP 7.4%, LRLS 5.8%, LRP 5.2%, Laisvės 4.8%, LT 4.1% and NA 2.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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