Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 21.04.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
27.1
±0.0
TS-LKD
14.3
±0.0
DSVL
13.3
±0.0
LVŽS
11.6
±0.0
DP
8.9
±0.0
LRLS
6.6
±0.0
LRP
5.1
±0.0
LP
4.1
±0.0
LT
2.7
±0.0
TK
1.5
±0.0
LŽP
1.4
±0.0
NS
1.4
±0.0
TTS
0.9
±0.0
LLRA-KŠS
0.7
±0.0
Others
0.4
±0.0
Baltijos tyrimai – 1020 respondents – 10.04.2024-21.04.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DP higher

In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 71% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 38% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 46% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 31% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 67% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TTS higher

In 43% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates TTS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 27.1%, TS-LKD 14.3%, DSVL 13.3%, LVŽS 11.6%, DP 8.9%, LRLS 6.6%, LRP 5.1%, Laisvės 4.1%, LT 2.7%, TK 1.5%, LŽP 1.4%, NS 1.4%, TTS 0.9% and LLRA-KŠS 0.7%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 17.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (10.04.2024 - 21.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
NS
1
1%
LSDP
27
28.1%
DP
9
9.4%
LRP
5
5.2%
LVŽS
12
12.5%
LP
4
4.2%
LŽP
1
1%
DSVL
13
13.5%
LRLS
7
7.3%
TS-LKD
14
14.6%
LT
2
2.1%
TK
1
1%
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
57.3%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
56.3%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
55.2%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
55.2%
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRP
55.2%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + Laisvės
54.2%
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + Laisvės
54.2%
LSDP + DP + LRLS + LRP + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
54.2%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + LRP
54.2%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
53.1%
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + Laisvės
53.1%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
52.1%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
52.1%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRP + Laisvės
52.1%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + DP
51.0%
LSDP + DSVL + LRP + Laisvės
51.0%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
50.0%
LSDP + DP + LRLS + LRP
50.0%
LSDP + LVŽS + DP
50.0%
LSDP + LVŽS + LRP + Laisvės
50.0%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP
50.0%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRP + Laisvės
TS-LKD + DSVL + DP + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + DP + LRLS + Laisvės
49.0%
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
49.0%
TS-LKD + DSVL + DP + LRLS + Laisvės

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 10.04.2024 and 21.04.2024 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 27.1%, TS-LKD 14.3%, DSVL 13.3%, LVŽS 11.6%, DP 8.9%, LRLS 6.6%, LRP 5.1%, Laisvės 4.1%, LT 2.7%, TK 1.5%, LŽP 1.4%, NS 1.4%, TTS 0.9% and LLRA-KŠS 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.