Polling data
LSDP
27.1
±0.0
TS-LKD
14.3
±0.0
DSVL
13.3
±0.0
LVŽS
11.6
±0.0
DP
8.9
±0.0
LRLS
6.6
±0.0
LRP
5.1
±0.0
LP
4.1
±0.0
LT
2.7
±0.0
TK
1.5
±0.0
LŽP
1.4
±0.0
NS
1.4
±0.0
TTS
0.9
±0.0
LLRA-KŠS
0.7
±0.0
Sonst.
0.4
±0.0
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
Baltijos tyrimai – 1020 respondents – 10.04.2024-21.04.2024
Next election: 13.10.2024
The next general election in Lithuania will be held in 31.
Institute often rates DP higher
In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DSVL higher
In 67% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 40% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 49% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LT higher
In 45% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 70% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 27.1%, TS-LKD 14.3%, DSVL 13.3%, LVŽS 11.6%, DP 8.9%, LRLS 6.6%, LRP 5.1%, Laisvės 4.1%, LT 2.7%, TK 1.5%, LŽP 1.4%, NS 1.4%, TTS 0.9% and LLRA-KŠS 0.7%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.5 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 16.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (10.04.2024 - 21.04.2024).
Coalition possibilities
96
NS
1
LSDP
27
DP
9
LRP
5
LVŽS
12
LP
4
LŽP
1
DSVL
13
LRLS
7
TS-LKD
14
LT
2
TK
1
Majority requires 49 seats
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRLS
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + DP + LRLS + LRP + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRP + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LRP + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + LRP + Laisvės
TS-LKD + DSVL + DP + LRLS + LRP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + LRP + Laisvės
LSDP + DP + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + DP + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
LSDP + DP + LRLS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP + LRLS + LRP
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 10.04.2024 and 21.04.2024 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 27.1%, TS-LKD 14.3%, DSVL 13.3%, LVŽS 11.6%, DP 8.9%, LRLS 6.6%, LRP 5.1%, Laisvės 4.1%, LT 2.7%, TK 1.5%, LŽP 1.4%, NS 1.4%, TTS 0.9% and LLRA-KŠS 0.7%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.