Lithuania: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
22.9
-0.3
TS-LKD
13.7
+0.6
LVŽS
12.8
-1.1
DSVL
10.9
-2.2
NA
10.0
+4.3
DP
8.1
+0.5
LRP
5.6
+1.6
LS
4.5
+4.5
LP
3.5
-0.4
LLRA-KŠS
3.5
+0.7
LT
2.5
-0.3
TTS
2.0
+1.5
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
Baltijos tyrimai – 1027 respondents – 16.05.2024-25.05.2024
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates DP higher
In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DSVL higher
In 73% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 37% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 48% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LT higher
In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates NA lower
In 56% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates NA lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD lower
In 68% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TTS higher
In 43% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates TTS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.9%, TS-LKD 13.7%, LVŽS 12.8%, DSVL 10.9%, NA 10%, DP 8.1%, LRP 5.6%, LS 4.5%, Laisvės 3.5%, LLRA-KŠS 3.5%, LT 2.5% and TTS 2%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LVŽS might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. NA, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 22.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1027 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (16.05.2024 - 25.05.2024).
Coalition possibilities
141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
17
12.1%
LSDP
39
27.7%
DP
13
9.2%
LRP
9
6.4%
LVŽS
22
15.6%
DSVL
18
12.8%
TS-LKD
23
16.3%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + NA
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + NA
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL
LSDP + DSVL + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + NA
LVŽS + DSVL + NA + DP + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + NA
LSDP + NA + DP + LRP
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
TS-LKD + LVŽS + NA + DP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + NA
LSDP + DSVL + NA
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRP
TS-LKD + DSVL + NA + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + NA + DP
TS-LKD + LVŽS + NA + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + LRP
LSDP + DSVL + DP
LVŽS + DSVL + NA + DP
LVŽS + DSVL + NA + DP
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 16.05.2024 and 25.05.2024 among 1027 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.9%, TS-LKD 13.7%, LVŽS 12.8%, DSVL 10.9%, NA 10%, DP 8.1%, LRP 5.6%, LS 4.5%, Laisvės 3.5%, LLRA-KŠS 3.5%, LT 2.5% and TTS 2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.