Lithuania
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Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 29.07.2024

Polling data

LSDP
21.5
+2.2
NA
17.0
+4.0
TS-LKD
16.8
+0.4
LVŽS
13.3
+4.1
DSVL
11.8
+2.7
LRLS
10.7
+1.5
LP
5.3
-1.0
DP
3.5
+0.6
Sonst.
0.1
-14.5
Development since the last election on 25.10.2020
LSDP
+11.9
NA
New
TS-LKD
-9.0
LVŽS
-4.8
DSVL
New
LRLS
+3.7
LP
-4.2
DP
-6.3
Spinter tyrimai – 1016 respondents – 19.07.2024-29.07.2024

Next election: 13.10.2024

The next general election in Lithuania will be held in 31.

Institute often rates DP lower

In 33% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL lower

In 63% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės higher

In 49% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LRLS higher

In 38% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates LRLS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP lower

In 66% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 40% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD higher

In 34% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 21.5%, NA 17%, TS-LKD 16.8%, LVŽS 13.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LRLS 10.7%, Laisvės 5.3% and DP 3.5%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.9 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 13.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (19.07.2024 - 29.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
NA
25
LSDP
32
LVŽS
19
LP
7
DSVL
17
LRLS
16
TS-LKD
25
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
84
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
77
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės
75
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
76
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
74
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
74
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + Laisvės
72
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
73

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 19.07.2024 and 29.07.2024 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 21.5%, NA 17%, TS-LKD 16.8%, LVŽS 13.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LRLS 10.7%, Laisvės 5.3% and DP 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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