Lithuania: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
21.5
+2.2
NA
17.0
+4.0
TS-LKD
16.8
+0.4
LVŽS
13.3
+4.1
DSVL
11.8
+2.7
LRLS
10.7
+1.5
LP
5.3
-1.0
DP
3.5
+0.6
Others
0.1
-14.5
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
Spinter tyrimai – 1016 respondents – 19.07.2024-29.07.2024
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates DP lower
In 33% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates DSVL lower
In 53% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės higher
In 48% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LRLS higher
In 38% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates LRLS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP lower
In 68% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 38% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates NA higher
In 33% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates NA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD higher
In 36% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 21.5%, NA 17%, TS-LKD 16.8%, LVŽS 13.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LRLS 10.7%, Laisvės 5.3% and DP 3.5%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LVŽS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.1 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 13.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (19.07.2024 - 29.07.2024).
Coalition possibilities
141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
25
17.7%
LSDP
32
22.7%
LVŽS
19
13.5%
LP
7
5%
DSVL
17
12.1%
LRLS
16
11.3%
TS-LKD
25
17.7%
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + LRLS
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + LRLS
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + LRLS
LSDP + TS-LKD + NA
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
NA + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
NA + LVŽS + DSVL + LRLS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
TS-LKD + NA + LRLS + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + LRLS
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + Laisvės
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 19.07.2024 and 29.07.2024 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 21.5%, NA 17%, TS-LKD 16.8%, LVŽS 13.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LRLS 10.7%, Laisvės 5.3% and DP 3.5%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.