Upcoming elections:

Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 09.08.2024

Polling data

LSDP
21.9
-1.0
DSVL
12.8
+1.9
TS-LKD
12.5
-1.2
LVŽS
11.6
-1.2
NA
11.1
+1.1
DP
7.7
-0.4
LS
5.7
+1.2
LRP
4.3
-1.3
LP
3.6
+0.1
LLRA-KŠS
3.6
+0.1
LT
3.3
+0.8
TTS
1.9
-0.1
LŽP
1.4
+1.4
NS
1.0
+1.0
Baltijos tyrimai – 1018 respondents – 07.08.2024-09.08.2024

Next election: 13.10.2024

The next general election in Lithuania will be held in 5.

Institute often rates DP higher

In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 67% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 40% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 49% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 45% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 70% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 21.9%, DSVL 12.8%, TS-LKD 12.5%, LVŽS 11.6%, NA 11.1%, DP 7.7%, LS 5.7%, LRP 4.3%, Laisvės 3.6%, LLRA-KŠS 3.6%, LT 3.3%, TTS 1.9%, LŽP 1.4% and NS 1%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.3 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 14.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.08.2024 - 09.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
NA
19
LSDP
37
DP
13
LS
9
LVŽS
20
DSVL
22
TS-LKD
21
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 07.08.2024 and 09.08.2024 among 1018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 21.9%, DSVL 12.8%, TS-LKD 12.5%, LVŽS 11.6%, NA 11.1%, DP 7.7%, LS 5.7%, LRP 4.3%, Laisvės 3.6%, LLRA-KŠS 3.6%, LT 3.3%, TTS 1.9%, LŽP 1.4% and NS 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.