Lithuania: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
LSDP
23.3
+1.8
TS-LKD
18.0
+1.2
NA
16.0
-1.0
LVŽS
10.1
-3.2
LS
9.8
+9.8
DSVL
8.1
-3.7
LP
7.0
+1.7
LŽP
3.7
+3.7
NS
3.1
+3.1
Others
0.9
-13.4
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
Spinter tyrimai – 1008 respondents – 16.09.2024-25.09.2024
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates DSVL lower
In 55% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Laisvės higher
In 47% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP lower
In 67% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS lower
In 37% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates NA higher
In 30% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates NA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD higher
In 35% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 23.3%, TS-LKD 18%, NA 16%, LVŽS 10.1%, LS 9.8%, DSVL 8.1%, Laisvės 7%, LŽP 3.7% and NS 3.1%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. DSVL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 10.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (16.09.2024 - 25.09.2024).
Coalition possibilities
141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
25
17.7%
LSDP
36
25.5%
LS
15
10.6%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
LP
10
7.1%
DSVL
12
8.5%
TS-LKD
28
19.9%
LSDP + TS-LKD + NA
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + LS
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + LS + DSVL
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + DSVL
TS-LKD + NA + LS + DSVL
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + NA + LS + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + LS + DSVL
LSDP + LVŽS + LS + DSVL
NA + LVŽS + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
NA + LVŽS + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
LSDP + NA + LS
LSDP + LVŽS + LS + Laisvės
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + TS-LKD + Laisvės
LSDP + LVŽS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + LS + DSVL + Laisvės
LSDP + NA + Laisvės
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS + DSVL
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS + DSVL
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 16.09.2024 and 25.09.2024 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 23.3%, TS-LKD 18%, NA 16%, LVŽS 10.1%, LS 9.8%, DSVL 8.1%, Laisvės 7%, LŽP 3.7% and NS 3.1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.