Upcoming elections:

Lithuania: Poll by Vilmorus from 21.09.2024

Polling data

LSDP
26.4
±0.0
NA
16.7
+6.8
TS-LKD
13.3
-2.4
DSVL
9.5
-0.7
LVŽS
9.1
-4.7
LS
7.5
+0.4
LRP
4.0
-0.8
LP
3.3
-1.0
DP
2.7
-4.0
LLRA-KŠS
1.9
+0.2
LT
1.7
+1.7
LŽP
1.2
+1.2
NS
1.1
+1.1
TTS
0.7
+0.7
Others
0.9
+1.5
Vilmorus – 1000 respondents – 13.09.2024-21.09.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 42% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS higher

In 34% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LVŽS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Lithuania from Vilmorus shows the following results: LSDP 26.4%, NA 16.7%, TS-LKD 13.3%, DSVL 9.5%, LVŽS 9.1%, LS 7.5%, LRP 4%, Laisvės 3.3%, DP 2.7%, LLRA-KŠS 1.9%, LT 1.7%, LŽP 1.2%, NS 1.1% and TTS 0.7%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LSDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 11.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Vilmorus. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (13.09.2024 - 21.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
NA
29
LSDP
45
LS
13
LVŽS
15
DSVL
16
TS-LKD
23
Majority requires 71 seats
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LS
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL + LS
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
LSDP + NA
74
LSDP + LVŽS + LS
NA + DSVL + LVŽS + LS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Vilmorus. The survey took place between 13.09.2024 and 21.09.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 26.4%, NA 16.7%, TS-LKD 13.3%, DSVL 9.5%, LVŽS 9.1%, LS 7.5%, LRP 4%, Laisvės 3.3%, DP 2.7%, LLRA-KŠS 1.9%, LT 1.7%, LŽP 1.2%, NS 1.1% and TTS 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.