Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 01.12.2024

Polling data

LSDP
22.9
+1.0
NA
17.1
+6.0
DSVL
14.8
+2.0
TS-LKD
13.7
+1.2
LVŽS
8.5
-3.1
LS
4.8
-0.9
LLRA-KŠS
3.5
-0.1
LRP
3.4
-0.9
DP
3.3
-4.4
LT
2.9
-0.4
LP
2.1
-1.5
LŽP
1.2
-0.2
NS
1.0
±0.0
TTS
0.3
-1.6
Others
0.5
+2.9
Baltijos tyrimai – 1018 respondents – 12.11.2024-01.12.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DP higher

In 39% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 71% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 38% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 46% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LT higher

In 38% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LT higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 31% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 67% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.9%, NA 17.1%, DSVL 14.8%, TS-LKD 13.7%, LVŽS 8.5%, LS 4.8%, LLRA-KŠS 3.5%, LRP 3.4%, DP 3.3%, LT 2.9%, Laisvės 2.1%, LŽP 1.2%, NS 1% and TTS 0.3%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, DSVL might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 10.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (12.11.2024 - 01.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
32
22.7%
LSDP
42
29.8%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
DSVL
27
19.1%
TS-LKD
25
17.7%
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
66.7%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
59.6%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
59.6%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
59.6%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + NA
52.5%
NA + DSVL + LVŽS
52.5%
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 12.11.2024 and 01.12.2024 among 1018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.9%, NA 17.1%, DSVL 14.8%, TS-LKD 13.7%, LVŽS 8.5%, LS 4.8%, LLRA-KŠS 3.5%, LRP 3.4%, DP 3.3%, LT 2.9%, Laisvės 2.1%, LŽP 1.2%, NS 1% and TTS 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.