Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 20.12.2024

Polling data

LSDP
18.4
-4.9
NA
17.9
+1.9
TS-LKD
17.3
-0.7
LS
11.5
+1.7
DSVL
11.1
+3.0
LVŽS
9.2
-0.9
LP
3.3
-3.7
Others
11.3
+3.6
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
-1.3
NA
+2.6
TS-LKD
-1.0
LS
+3.7
DSVL
+1.7
LVŽS
+2.0
LP
-1.3
Spinter tyrimai – 1016 respondents – 13.12.2024-20.12.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DSVL lower

In 56% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės higher

In 49% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP lower

In 67% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 38% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD higher

In 37% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 18.4%, NA 17.9%, TS-LKD 17.3%, LS 11.5%, DSVL 11.1%, LVŽS 9.2% and Laisvės 3.3%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LS might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. LSDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 10.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (13.12.2024 - 20.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
30
21.3%
LSDP
30
21.3%
LS
19
13.5%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
DSVL
18
12.8%
TS-LKD
29
20.6%
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
63.1%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
57.4%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
57.4%
LSDP + NA + LS
56.0%
NA + TS-LKD + LS
55.3%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
55.3%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
54.6%
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL
54.6%
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL
54.6%
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
53.2%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
52.5%
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS
52.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 13.12.2024 and 20.12.2024 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 18.4%, NA 17.9%, TS-LKD 17.3%, LS 11.5%, DSVL 11.1%, LVŽS 9.2% and Laisvės 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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