Lithuania: Poll by Spinter tyrimai from 29.01.2025

Lithuania: Polling data

LSDP
16.3
-2.1
TS-LKD
15.9
-1.4
NA
13.0
-4.9
LS
12.3
+0.8
DSVL
11.8
+0.7
LVŽS
9.1
-0.1
LP
4.2
+0.9
NS
3.3
+3.3
Others
14.1
+2.8
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
-3.4
TS-LKD
-2.4
NA
-2.3
LS
+4.5
DSVL
+2.4
LVŽS
+1.9
LP
-0.4
NS
+0.4
Spinter tyrimai – 1009 respondents – 18.01.2025-29.01.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DSVL lower

In 53% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates DSVL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės higher

In 48% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates Laisvės higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP lower

In 68% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LSDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 38% of election polls Spinter tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NA higher

In 33% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates NA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD higher

In 36% of election polls, Spinter tyrimai rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Spinter tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 16.3%, TS-LKD 15.9%, NA 13%, LS 12.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LVŽS 9.1%, Laisvės 4.2% and NS 3.3%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, LS might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. LSDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 11.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spinter tyrimai. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (18.01.2025 - 29.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
23
16.3%
LSDP
30
21.3%
LS
22
15.6%
LVŽS
16
11.3%
DSVL
21
14.9%
TS-LKD
29
20.6%
LSDP + TS-LKD + NA
58.2%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS
58.2%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
57.4%
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
53.2%
LSDP + NA + LS
53.2%
TS-LKD + NA + LS
52.5%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
52.5%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
52.5%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
51.8%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
51.8%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
51.8%
LSDP + LS + DSVL
51.8%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
51.1%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Spinter tyrimai. The survey took place between 18.01.2025 and 29.01.2025 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 16.3%, TS-LKD 15.9%, NA 13%, LS 12.3%, DSVL 11.8%, LVŽS 9.1%, Laisvės 4.2% and NS 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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