Lithuania: Poll by Baltijos tyrimai from 08.02.2025

Lithuania: Polling data

LSDP
22.6
-0.3
DSVL
17.9
+3.1
NA
17.4
+0.3
TS-LKD
11.7
-2.0
LVŽS
10.6
+2.1
LS
5.4
+0.6
LP
2.1
±0.0
LRP
2.1
-1.3
LLRA-KŠS
2.0
-1.5
LŽP
1.8
+0.6
NS
1.4
+0.4
Others
2.9
-2.0
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
+2.9
DSVL
+8.5
NA
+2.1
TS-LKD
-6.6
LVŽS
+3.4
LS
-2.4
LP
-2.5
LRP
+0.2
LLRA-KŠS
-2.0
LŽP
+0.1
NS
-1.5
Baltijos tyrimai – 1019 respondents – 25.01.2025-08.02.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates DSVL higher

In 73% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates DSVL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Laisvės lower

In 37% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 48% of election polls, Baltijos tyrimai rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS lower

In 30% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates LVŽS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NA lower

In 56% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates NA lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TS-LKD lower

In 68% of election polls Baltijos tyrimai rates TS-LKD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Baltijos tyrimai shows the following results: LSDP 22.6%, DSVL 17.9%, NA 17.4%, TS-LKD 11.7%, LVŽS 10.6%, LS 5.4%, Laisvės 2.1%, LRP 2.1%, LLRA-KŠS 2%, LŽP 1.8% and NS 1.4%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, DSVL might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.5 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 12.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Baltijos tyrimai. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (25.01.2025 - 08.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
29
20.6%
LSDP
37
26.2%
LS
9
6.4%
LVŽS
17
12.1%
DSVL
30
21.3%
TS-LKD
19
13.5%
LSDP + DSVL + NA
68.1%
LSDP + DSVL + NA
68.1%
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
61.0%
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
60.3%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
59.6%
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
58.9%
DSVL + NA + TS-LKD
55.3%
DSVL + NA + TS-LKD
55.3%
DSVL + NA + LVŽS
53.9%
LSDP + DSVL + LS
53.9%
LSDP + DSVL + LS
53.9%
LSDP + NA + LS
53.2%
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
53.2%
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
53.2%
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
52.5%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
51.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Baltijos tyrimai. The survey took place between 25.01.2025 and 08.02.2025 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.6%, DSVL 17.9%, NA 17.4%, TS-LKD 11.7%, LVŽS 10.6%, LS 5.4%, Laisvės 2.1%, LRP 2.1%, LLRA-KŠS 2%, LŽP 1.8% and NS 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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