Lithuania: Poll by Norstat from 28.02.2025

Lithuania: Polling data

TS-LKD
27.1
-5.6
LSDP
15.6
+2.6
NA
12.7
+12.7
LS
11.2
+11.2
DSVL
10.6
+10.6
LP
5.9
±0.0
LVŽS
5.9
-9.5
Others
11.0
-22.0
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
TS-LKD
+8.8
LSDP
-4.1
NA
-2.6
LS
+3.4
DSVL
+1.2
LP
+1.3
LVŽS
-1.3
Norstat – 1500 respondents – 10.02.2025-28.02.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Norstat shows the following results: TS-LKD 27.1%, LSDP 15.6%, NA 12.7%, LS 11.2%, DSVL 10.6%, Laisvės 5.9% and LVŽS 5.9%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, TS-LKD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.8 growth since the last election. LSDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 6.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 18 days (10.02.2025 - 28.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
20
14.2%
LSDP
25
17.7%
LS
18
12.8%
LP
9
6.4%
LVŽS
9
6.4%
DSVL
17
12.1%
TS-LKD
43
30.5%
TS-LKD + LSDP + NA
62.4%
TS-LKD + LSDP + LS
61.0%
TS-LKD + LSDP + DSVL
60.3%
TS-LKD + NA + LS
57.4%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + NA + LS + DSVL
56.7%
TS-LKD + NA + DSVL
56.7%
LSDP + NA + LS + DSVL
56.7%
TS-LKD + LS + LVŽS + Laisvės
56.0%
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
55.3%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
55.3%
TS-LKD + LS + DSVL
55.3%
LSDP + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
55.3%
TS-LKD + LSDP + LVŽS
54.6%
TS-LKD + LSDP + Laisvės
54.6%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
51.8%
NA + LS + DSVL + LVŽS + Laisvės
51.8%
TS-LKD + NA + LVŽS
51.1%
TS-LKD + NA + Laisvės
51.1%
LSDP + NA + LS + LVŽS
51.1%
LSDP + NA + LS + Laisvės
51.1%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + LVŽS
50.4%
LSDP + NA + DSVL + Laisvės
50.4%
TS-LKD + LS + LVŽS
49.6%
TS-LKD + LS + Laisvės
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 10.02.2025 and 28.02.2025 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get TS-LKD 27.1%, LSDP 15.6%, NA 12.7%, LS 11.2%, DSVL 10.6%, Laisvės 5.9% and LVŽS 5.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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