Lithuania: Poll by Vilmorus from 23.02.2025

Lithuania: Polling data

LSDP
22.1
-2.2
NA
21.7
+1.0
DSVL
16.2
+5.4
TS-LKD
14.4
+2.6
LVŽS
11.4
+1.8
LS
9.0
-4.5
Others
5.2
-4.1
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
LSDP
+2.4
NA
+6.4
DSVL
+6.8
TS-LKD
-3.9
LVŽS
+4.2
LS
+1.2
Vilmorus – 1000 respondents – 14.02.2025-23.02.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates LS higher

In 33% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LSDP higher

In 43% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LVŽS higher

In 35% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LVŽS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lithuania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania from Vilmorus shows the following results: LSDP 22.1%, NA 21.7%, DSVL 16.2%, TS-LKD 14.4%, LVŽS 11.4% and LS 9%. If an election were held in Lithuania this Sunday, DSVL might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.8 growth since the last election. TS-LKD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ingrida Šimonytė is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from LRP and LVŽS. With 12.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Vilmorus. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (14.02.2025 - 23.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
33
23.4%
LSDP
33
23.4%
LS
13
9.2%
LVŽS
17
12.1%
DSVL
24
17%
TS-LKD
21
14.9%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
63.8%
LSDP + NA + DSVL
63.8%
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
61.7%
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
58.9%
LSDP + NA + LS
56.0%
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
55.3%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
55.3%
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
55.3%
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
53.2%
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
53.2%
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
52.5%
NA + DSVL + LVŽS
52.5%
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
50.4%
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS
50.4%
NA + DSVL + LS
49.6%
LSDP + DSVL + LS
49.6%
LSDP + DSVL + LS
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Vilmorus. The survey took place between 14.02.2025 and 23.02.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.1%, NA 21.7%, DSVL 16.2%, TS-LKD 14.4%, LVŽS 11.4% and LS 9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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