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Polls, trends and elections for Lower Austria

Current Election Trend for Lower Austria

ÖVP
36.0
FPÖ
26.0
SPÖ
24.0
GRÜNE
7.0
NEOS
5.0
Sonst.
2.0
Development since the last election on 29.01.2023
On the rise: FPÖ
+2.0 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: ÖVP
-4.0 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lower Austria is expected to take place in 2028.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 87.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Lower Austria?

In the current election trend in Lower Austria, ÖVP leads with 36%. This is a loss of -3.9 percentage points since the last election.

FPÖ lands at 26% and gains +1.8 percentage points since the last election.

SPÖ lands at 24% and gains +3.3 percentage points since the last election.

GRÜNE reaches 7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).

NEOS experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 5% (-1.7).

2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from IFDD for Kronen Zeitung, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 916 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Lower Austria, the government from ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ would secure 87.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ, GRÜNE and NEOS reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 71.5% - 28.5% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Lower Austria

IFDD
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
IFDD
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details

What is the latest poll for Lower Austria?

The latest poll for the election in Lower Austria was published by IFDD. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 36%, FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 24%, GRÜNE 7% and NEOS 5%.

Coalitions

56
SPÖ
14
GRÜNE
4
NEOS
2
ÖVP
21
FPÖ
15
Majority requires 29 seats
ÖVP + FPÖ + SPÖ
ÖVP + FPÖ
36
ÖVP + SPÖ
35
FPÖ + SPÖ
29

Which coalitions are currently possible in Lower Austria?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ, Coalition from ÖVP and FPÖ, Coalition from ÖVP and SPÖ and Coalition from FPÖ and SPÖ each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Lower Austria shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: FPÖ
+2.0 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: ÖVP
-4.0 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
ÖVP
FPÖ
SPÖ
GRÜNE
NEOS
Show more

Lower Austria — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Lower Austria in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Lower Austria took place on 29.01.2023.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 56
Government & opposition
Government : 49
Opposition : 7
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 16
Right-leaning parties : 37

Which parties are in the parliament of Lower Austria?

In the parliament of Lower Austria, there are 56 representatives from 5 parties. 49 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ. The opposition from GRÜNE and NEOS has 7 representatives.

16 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 37 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Lower Austria?

In Lower Austria, a coalition of ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ governs.

State election in Niederösterreich 2028

The State election in Niederösterreich 2028 will probably take place in 2028. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Coalition of the center of FPÖ, SPÖ and ÖVP. In the last State election in Niederösterreich in 2023, ÖVP (39.9% - 23 seats), FPÖ (24.2% - 14 seats), SPÖ (20.7% - 12 seats), GRÜNE (7.6% - 4 seats) and NEOS (6.7% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 71.5%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Lower Austria?

The next election in Lower Austria is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who governs in Lower Austria?

In Lower Austria, a coalition of ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ governs.

What is the latest poll for Lower Austria?

The latest poll for the election in Lower Austria was published by IFDD. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 36%, FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 24%, GRÜNE 7% and NEOS 5%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Lower Austria?

In the parliament of Lower Austria, there are 56 representatives from 5 parties. 49 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP, FPÖ and SPÖ. The opposition from GRÜNE and NEOS has 7 representatives.